Jul 122020
 

It’s a muggy day here in the CatBox.  WWWendy and I finished our chores yesterday, but Tuesday will be our big day.  I’ll find out today whether or not her friend can come give me a shower while she’s gone.  I hope you’re enjoying your weekend.

Jig Zone Puzzle:

Today’s took me 2:37 (average 4:07).  To do it, click here.  How did you do?

Cartoon:

Trump* Virus Update:

0712TrumpVirusMap

Map Reference (click through for more info and detail)

US Cases: 3,357,206
US Deaths: 137,418

Short Takes:

From Alternet: According to WOAI, a patient in San Antonio, Texas in their 30s has died after going to a “COVID party” — a gathering of people who intentionally expose themselves to coronavirus to see for themselves whether the virus is real.

Per Methodist Healthcare Chief Medical Officer Dr. Jane Appleby, the patient’s final words to the nurse were, “I think I made a mistake, I thought this was a hoax, but it’s not.”

That surprised me. It would have been more appropriate, if the last word of that idiot Republican Sheeple had been BAA-A-A-A-A-A!  RESIST!!

From YouTube: “Black Lives Matter” mural painted in front of Trump Tower in New York City

I LOVE it! FOMCPIMPROTFLMAO!! RESIST!!

From YouTube (A blast played at Woodstock): Melanie at Woodstock


This was unique to the concert, and I remember it (and the rain) well. Dedicated to all who were at Woodstock or wanted to be. Ah… the memories!  RESIST!!

Vote Blue No Matter Who Top to Bottom!!

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Everyday Erinyes #223

 Posted by at 9:00 am  Politics
Jul 112020
 

Experts in autocracies have pointed out that it is, unfortunately, easy to slip into normalizing the tyrant, hence it is important to hang on to outrage. These incidents which seem to call for the efforts of the Greek Furies (Erinyes) to come and deal with them will, I hope, help with that. As a reminder, though no one really knows how many there were supposed to be, the three names we have are Alecto, Megaera, and Tisiphone. These roughly translate as “unceasing,” “grudging,” and “vengeful destruction.”

This story has not been getting a lot of attention, and I can see why. It’s about one state, not a terribly populous one, and, within that state, a very small and quite specialized population, one which most people frankly don’t care about. I’ve been following liberal sites, blogs, and comments in particular to get a pretty good idea that even among liberals, maybe especially among liberals, these are not people high on our list for fighting injustice.

But exactly for that reason – this story is the point at which push comes to shove. A moment of truth. This when we find out whether we truly have compassion for every human being, or just for some human beings.

No one said it would be easy.
================================================================

Massive COVID-19 outbreak at a southern NM prison hits just one type of inmates — sex offenders. That’s by design.


By Jeff Proctor, New Mexico In Depth | June 27, 2020

As the coronavirus established a foothold in southern New Mexico’s Otero County Prison Facility in mid-May, state officials quietly moved 39 inmates out of the massive complex near the Texas border to another prison near Santa Fe.

The inmates shared something in common: None was a sex offender.

In the days before the 39 departed the massive correctional complex where New Mexico’s only sex offender treatment program is housed, officials were still transferring sex offenders from other state prisons into Otero. It was a routine practice they had yet to stop, even though more than a dozen COVID-19 cases had already emerged elsewhere in the prison.

Six weeks later, 434 inmates — or 80% — have the virus, within a prison population that’s now entirely composed of people who, at one time or another, were convicted of a state sex offense.

Three have died. Eight more lie ill at University Hospital in El Paso.

One of New Mexico’s most crowded prisons, Otero is the only state lockup with more than one COVID-19 case. And yet no prisoner from the facility has been released early under an executive order issued by Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham on April 6 because sex offenders are not eligible.

Prisoners from the state’s 10 other facilities have gotten out, however, documents New Mexico In Depth obtained through a public records request show.

The revelations come through more than a week of reporting by New Mexico In Depth, and confirmation from Corrections Department spokesman Eric Harrison.

The timeline of inmate transfers as the virus crept into the prison is “really concerning,” said Lalita Moskowitz, staff attorney with the American Civil Liberties Union of New Mexico.

“It indicates that Corrections knew that there was likely to be an outbreak or that there was some danger or risk to people housed in that facility,” Moskowitz said. “And they made a very clear decision about who in that facility was worth saving during a pandemic, and did so earlier than they were showing any sort of concern to the public.”

State officials didn’t seek to create a sex-offender-only prison purposely by sending the 39 inmates to Santa Fe, Harrison said. Rather, they did it “for COVID reasons,” he said, adding that they had been housed in a separate area of the Otero prison, away from the sex offenders.

“It wasn’t a specific policy change or big decision to make Otero the only sex-offender-only prison,” he said. “After that first inmate tested positive, we needed space to create a quarantine unit.”

As of Thursday, there had been no discussion in the Lujan Grisham administration about revisiting the criteria in the executive order on early release, including the provision excluding sex offenders, Harrison told NMID.

That’s despite the outbreak in Otero County.

“As the state continues to battle COVID, I’m sure that will be something that comes up,” Harrison added.

In the other wing of the Otero County Prison Facility, where federal inmates are detained by agencies including the U.S. Marshals Service and the Department of Homeland Security, 275 prisoners have contracted the virus.

Most are locked up on drug-related charges, officials revealed this week.

Next door at the Otero County Processing Center, where Immigrations and Customs Enforcement detains hundreds of migrants, 146 people have tested positive for the potentially deadly virus.

It is not clear what percentage of the federal prison populations at the Otero facilities are infected because the total number of inmates locked up at the processing center and the federal wing of the prison facility are unknown. Management and Training Corp. (MTC), a private prison company, operates both prisons under contracts with the state and the feds.

Neither MTC nor federal agencies would disclose the total numbers of their detainees in either prison or processing center.

But as of Friday the state held 539 people in its half of the prison facility, when New Mexico officials reported that 434 of them had contracted the virus.

Driving the numbers

For now, grim numbers from Otero roll in each afternoon from the governor’s office, driving not just the rate of infection for incarcerated people, but the state as a whole.

June 5: 129 positive test results for inmates at the Otero County prisons. That was 39% of the state’s 331 new infections announced that day.

June 20: 37% of new virus cases announced were behind the walls near the Texas border.

June 21: 41 more incarcerated people in Otero County had the virus — 30% of the day’s new total.

Already held up in the national press as a state whose approach has saved lives and kept infections relatively low, New Mexico might look even better nationally were it not for the Otero County Processing Center and the Otero County Prison Facility.

At the end of the week 855 people locked up in the two prisons have tested positive for the potentially deadly virus since early May, officials say — nearly 8% of New Mexico’s overall total stretching back to March 11.

An experimental prison

It’s by design that Otero is home to such a large number of incarcerated sex offenders. Sidebar

New Mexico Corrections Department officials first contracted with MTC to manage a wing of the Otero County Prison Facility in 2013, under then-Gov. Susana Martinez. The plan was to create a sex-offender-only prison and offer treatment to an initial group of inmates, then constantly reevaluate.

Sex offenses, under New Mexico law, range from violent rapes to child exploitation to aggravated indecent exposure.

“There’s a sort of perception that we have in society about who’s a sex offender,” Moskowitz of the ACLU said. “Of course, there are the really serious, violent and child abuse cases. But a lot of people get labeled as a sex offender and required to register who we wouldn’t think of in that way.”

The Otero experiment has produced mixed results and reviews through the years, though corrections officials have continued to feature it as the state’s only prison where the Sex Offender Treatment Program (SOTP) is available.

Steadily, the population has grown to over 500, partly as corrections officials have identified sex offenders in other New Mexico prisons as candidates for the SOTP.

Transfers from around the state to Otero have been a regular feature for years, Harrison, the corrections spokesman, said. They slowed as the pandemic landed in New Mexico in early March, but continued after the outbreak began on the federal side of the building.

“In March, across the board, we really looked at all the facilities and said, ‘Let’s limit inter-facility transfers unless it’s really an as-need basis,” he said. “Once we got that first inmate positive on the state side … once that outbreak hit, that’s when it really came to a halt there at Otero.”

Corrections officials have maintained that there’s a bright line between the state and federal wings of the Otero prison.

“There is never a time where inmates or staff from the state and federal side will cross paths or use shared spaces,” Harrison wrote to NMID in May. “That was not practice previously, and is not practice now.”

Harrison did not say how many inmates had been transferred into Otero in the week between when cases emerged in the federal and state wings of the prison.

It is not at all clear when the COVID-19 outbreak actually began in Otero County — because MTC and the feds have remained tight-lipped about their testing regimens, and state officials did not begin scouring for the virus until at least two months after the pandemic reached New Mexico.

Since 2013, the Corrections Department has maintained a little-known, seldom-discussed 44-bed section for non-sex offenders in the prison.

It sits apart from the main area, but the two sections are laid out the same: “dormitory-style,” with cots for sleeping spaced no more than three feet apart.

State corrections and health officials on Wednesday acknowledged that the close proximity has made containing virus spread in the prison nearly impossible.

Although the 39 non-sex offenders are no longer in that area in Otero, these days the 44-bed unit is being used to quarantine inmates.

The Central New Mexico Correctional Facility in Valencia County features a similar design. But there are some differences in the two prisons: Fourteen inmates have been released early from Central, which is at about 69% of its design capacity and has reported one COVID-19 case for an inmate.

Otero, where no inmates have been released early, was 83% full as of Thursday with 434 infections. (That’s also higher than the current statewide population, which is at about 80% overall capacity.)

*The person is not a sex offender’

On Wednesday during a virtual news conference, state Corrections and Health department officials addressed the Otero outbreak and acknowledged the transfer of the 39 inmates. They did not elaborate.

Harrison, however, confirmed that the 39 inmates transferred out of Otero last month had been tested before leaving, again once they arrived at the Penitentiary of Santa Fe and again after a 14-day quarantine in Santa Fe. All have tested negative.

The Penitentiary has recorded one COVID-19 case.

Another issue that did not come up at the news conference: No inmates have been released from Otero prior to the end of their sentence under Lujan Grisham’s April 6 executive order, which acknowledges that “social distancing measures” are “the most effective way to prevent the spread of COVID 19.”

The order continues: “The early release of incarcerated individuals who are near their release date and meet certain criteria will help to protect public health without a concomitant risk to public safety.”

To date, 71 of roughly 6,200 inmates have been released under the order statewide — a miniscule figure compared to other states that have sought to reduce prison populations. The low figure has drawn heavy criticism from justice system reformers and civil rights advocates.

The order is far more restrictive than what’s allowed for early release under state law, as New Mexico In Depth has reported previously.

Inmates have been released from each of the state’s other 10 prisons except Otero, the records obtained by NMID show.

Just three of those prisons — in Cibola, Santa Fe and Valencia counties — have seen coronavirus infections, with one case at each of those prisons.

Corrections officials have continued to scan their prison population for people who can be released early, as required by the executive order, Harrison said.

“Every inmate goes through the same review process, and we are conducting those reviews to identify eligible inmates on a regular basis,” he said. “We have released everyone who has been identified. Sex offenders obviously are ineligible.”

The order lists seven criteria for early release: that inmates be within 30 days of the end of their sentence; they must have a parole plan in place; and they must not be serving sentences for domestic abuse, felony DWI, assaulting a police officer or any crime with an added firearm enhancement; and that “the person is not a sex offender.”

There’s a key difference for sex offenders: Anyone who has one of those convictions on their record — even if they’re serving time now for a completely different crime — is excluded from early release under the order.

“It’s interesting to exempt an entire classification of people, not based on the sentence they’re currently serving, but based on a designation that lives with people their whole lives,” Moskowitz of the ACLU said. “It indicates all of the perceptions and ideas and stigmas are carrying into this action that the governor is taking with the idea of saving people’s health and lives.”

Harrison acknowledged that there are inmates at Otero who have past sex offenses, but are incarcerated for something else now.

“Whatever we have decided as a society to do to punish people, regardless of whether we think all of those things are justified or make sense, we as a society have not sentenced people to suffer in a disease-ridden cage,” Moskowitz said.
================================================================
Alecto, Megaera, and Tisiphone, I understand the need to handle sex offenders in ways which protect the public. I understand that sex offenders are wired differently than most other kinds of offenders. I have no problem with mandatory registration, including life long. But that does not mean that sex offenders are not human beings. It does not excuse society, including corrections facilities, from treating them as human beings. Considering the number of current active cases, it would appear that that damage has been done. It should not have been done, and it should not ever be done again.

The Furies and I will be back.

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Jul 102020
 

It’s a busy day, here in the CatBox.  We’ve arranged to have a palliative care nurse to come change my pain patch when WWWendy is away.  We’re still searching for a shower aide.  Wish me luck.  Tomorrow, please expect no more than a Personal Update or Open Thread.  It’s a WWWendy stink, patch, and shower day.  TGIF!

Jig Zone Puzzle:

Today’s took me 3:11 (average 5:30).  To do it, click here.  How did you do?

Cartoon:

Trump* Virus Update:

0710TrumpVirusMap

Map Reference  (click through for interactive map).

US Cases: 3,221,938
US Deaths: 135,869

Short Takes:

From Crooks and Liars: Ohio state Rep. Nino Vitale (R) on Tuesday encouraged his constituents to “stop getting tested” for COVID-19.

In a Facebook post, Vitale suggested that the government is using COVID-19 tests to create a “dictatorship.”

“Are you tired of living in a dictatorship yet?” Vitale asked. “This is what happens when people go crazy and get tested. STOP GETTING TESTED!”

“It is giving the government an excuse to claim something is happening that is not happening at the magnitude they say it is happening,” he continued. “Have you noticed they never talk about deaths anymore, just cases? And they never talk about recoveries. They just keep adding to numbers they have been feeding us from over 3 months ago!”

Is that typically Republican or what? And the rabid Nazi Republican Sheeple said BAA-A-A-A-A-A!!  RESIST!!

From YouTube (Adam Schiff Channel): Rep. Schiff on MSNBC: With Trump, Justice Delayed is National Security Denied

With criminal Fuhrer Trump* Justice is ALWAYS delayed, and national security is ALWAYS denied.  RESIST!!

From YouTube (a blast played at Woodstock): Santana:SOUL SACRIFICE:Woodstock Music Festival, August, 1969


Dedicated to all who were at Woodstock or wanted to be. Ah… the memories!  RESIST!!

Vote Blue No Matter Who Top to Bottom!!

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Jul 102020
 

The world is dealing with an unprecedented health crisis caused by a new virus. With new insights in the way COVID19 spreads, in the way the virus behaves and in the way to deal with the pandemic every day, it is now more important than ever to safeguard the information we share is accurate and fact-based. We have to inoculate ourselves against the fake news and misinformation that infect our newsfeeds and timelines at this crucial moment by fact-checking.

For the duration of the pandemic, I will try to give you an overview of the main issues in CoronaCheck, an Australian email newsletter with the latest from around the world concerning the coronavirus, but now appear only once a week.*


Again, there seems to be little fact-checking done this week; not because there is less misinformation, disinformation or even malinformation about, I think, but because it loses in strength every time it looks like it repeats itself within a small window of time. Fact-checkers are trying to avoid that their readers get bored or think it an actual repeat and skip it, l expect and not giving up hope that their efforts to debunk are having results.

Most of what was reported this week was Australian based again, but some items are of interest elsewhere and are included in this overview.

 

HAS THE CSIRO’S PANDEMIC PREPAREDNESS BEEN HAMPERED BY FUNDING CUTS?

As efforts to develop a coronavirus vaccine continue, Australian Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese has used a National Press Club address to call for better pandemic preparedness.

Mr Albanese said the Coalition Government’s first budget had cut $110 million from science funding and “hollowed out” the nation’s lead scientific agency, the CSIRO, one on the frontline in the groups responding to the coronavirus that Australia was “now counting on” to develop a COVID-19 vaccine.

Its recent work includes a collaboration with the University of Queensland to develop a vaccine based on so-called “molecular clamp” technology. The agency is also conducting pre-clinical trials for two separate vaccines.

However, Dr Trevor Drew recently told the ABC’s Four Corners program that cuts in 2014 had “impacted on the research capability” of the Australian Centre for Disease Preparedness, the CSIRO’s high-containment facility for studying deadly viruses, of which he was director.

Fact-check took a look at the 2014-15 budget papers, which show the newly-elected Abbott government had earmarked $111.4 million in “reduced funding” for the CSIRO over the four years from 2014-15. The CSIRO’s annual reports confirm the agency lost $60 million in nominal government revenue in the first two budget years alone.

In the year after the 2014-15 budget, the agency shed 11 per cent of its research staff and 12 per cent of its total workforce, not counting contractors. Some jobs have since returned but, five years on, there remained 215 fewer research staff than before the Coalition took office.

But while Mr Albanese linked the funding cuts to the agency’s role in developing a coronavirus vaccine, a CSIRO spokesman implied that the cuts had resulted in a reorganisation in “areas related to vaccine development and pandemic preparedness”, where “[a]s part of the creation of our new strategy in 2015, CSIRO brought together experts from a range of backgrounds to build a ‘one health’ model that could respond to a new disease threat in multiple ways, from vaccine development and medical supply production to data modelling and environmental science.”

“As a result, our overall capability in pandemic preparedness has expanded, including an increase in research staff working on human diseases.” In short, the cuts resulted in a far more efficient organisation.

The current pandemic has also led the Morrison Government to put aside $222 million to upgrade the CSIRO’s ageing containment facility and a further $66 million for future pandemic planning and research in a bid to develop a vaccine and treatments for COVID-19.

 

WHY WE NEED TO BE WARY OF THE DATA

COVID-19 is evidently impacting countries to varying degrees. Differences in preparedness, population density and the quality of national healthcare systems, as well as in the how governments respond to the pandemic, have led to marked differences in outcomes.

So stark is the contrast that, had Australia’s coronavirus path tracked similarly to Belgium’s, the nation would have recorded more than 21,000 deaths – more than 200 times its current toll of 104.

The figures are extrapolations based on data that tracks the number of coronavirus deaths per million of population.

While experts caution that variables in the way countries compile their statistics and in their definitions, as well as variations in demographics and cultural norms, make for inexact comparisons, deaths-per-million gives a clearer snapshot of how severely the coronavirus is impacting different jurisdictions.

For example, the US tops the global death count with around 130,000 fatalities, with Brazil having swiftly climbed to second place (60,000). But, as bleak as those figures are, they translate to 388 and 284 deaths per million of the population respectively, ranking both countries behind Belgium, the UK, Spain, Italy, Sweden and France.


Image source: Our World in Data

Again caution is called for. Belgium’s figures include suspected – as well as confirmed – coronavirus deaths in care homes, which is likely inflating the country’s toll. Also, figures are subject to sudden change as countries reassess definitions and revise their data, as was the case in China, where authorities revised upwards by 50 per cent coronavirus totals for the city of Wuhan when they realised that their case definition was so stringent.

Likewise, New York City; it added more than 3,700 deaths to its COVID-19 toll in one stroke after new guidance from US health authorities recommended taking into account “probable” and “presumed” coronavirus deaths even in the absence of testing.

Figures for some countries are also likely unreliable due to poor accounting or because, with healthcare systems overwhelmed, untold numbers of people have been left to die at home.

While the Swedish Government shared the global objective of flattening the coronavirus curve, the debate continues over the merits of its approach. Its 5,333 deaths to date (523 per million people) far exceed the per capita tolls of neighbouring Denmark (104 deaths per million), Finland (59) and Norway (47).

 

A QUICK PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENT

A viral Facebook post claims that police have issued a bulletin about door-knocking thieves who say to be part of a government initiative to distribute masks is false, according to fact-checkers at AFP AustraliaFull Fact and Reuters in the UK, and PolitiFact in the US. The masks they hand out are supposedly laced with chemicals “which knocks you out cold and once you’re knocked out they proceed to rob you”.

In a statement provided to AFP, a Victoria Police spokesperson said the force was “unaware of any instances of this nature” occurring in Victoria. Other global fact-checkers were unable to find any such police bulletin.

 

FROM WASHINGTON, D.C.


The notion that COVID-19 very rarely leads to serious illness or death, a favourite argument of those wanting coronavirus restrictions eased or lifted, has been shared by US President Donald Trump when speaking on US Independence Day, July 4, and claiming that 99 per cent of coronavirus cases in the United States was “totally harmless“; a fact, he said, that was unique to the US.

But fact-checkers at PolitiFact, the Associated Press and FactCheck.org disputed this statement.

According to FactCheck.org, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that through to May 30, 14 per cent of coronavirus cases led to hospitalisation, and 2 per cent required intensive care. Meanwhile, PolitiFact estimated the case fatality rate for confirmed cases in the US to be at least 4.2 per cent. And while some experts do put the death rate around 1 per cent, that is not the same as the coronavirus being “totally harmless” in 99 per cent of cases.

“To cavalierly say that only 1 per cent of infections result in problems is wildly inaccurate,” Donald Thea, a professor of Global Health at Boston University told PolitiFact. “We are seeing reports of young people who have recovered from mild cases developing diabetes or blood clots and suffering from chronic fatigue, respiratory compromise, persistent fever or coming back with bacterial sepsis weeks later. There’s too many reports of other organ damage that hints that there are possible long term serious implications.”

 

Things that don’t cure and/or prevent COVID-19

#33: Vaccines against pneumonia
“Vaccines against pneumonia, such as pneumococcal vaccine and Haemophilus influenza type B (Hib) vaccine, do not provide protection against the new coronavirus.” ⁠— World Health Organisation

 

*The facts in this article are derived from the Australian RMIT ABC Fact Check newsletters which in turn draw on their own resources and those of their colleagues within the International Fact-Checking Network (IFCN), of which RMIT ABC Fact Check is a member.

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Jul 092020
 

Many nations are sending their children back to school this fall.  They can do so, because they took the necessary steps (social distancing, wearing masks, extensive testing, and contact tracing tracing, etc.) to get the COVID-19 pandemic under control.  Therefore, it’s safe for them to open their schools.  Here in the US, Criminal Fuhrer Trump* claimed that the pandemic is a hoax fostered by Democrats.  He took none of the necessity steps early and is discontinuing the few steps he took too late.  As a result, we have a raging plague of Trump* virus running wild.  It is not safe to open our schools.  Nevertheless, Trump* is demanding that schools reopen to hide his own and Republican incompetence in controlling their plague.  American school children will pay for this with their lives and those of their families.

0709TrumpKillsKids

Determined to reopen America’s schools despite coronavirus worries, President Donald Trump threatened Wednesday to hold back federal money if school districts don’t bring their students back in the fall. He complained that his own public health officials’ safety guidelines are impractical and too expensive.

Shortly afterward, Vice President Mike Pence announced that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention would be issuing new guidance next week “that will give all new tools to our schools.” The recommendations will keep students safe, he said, but “the president said today we just don’t want the guidance to be too tough. ”

Despite Trump’s increased pressure on state and local officials, New York City announced that most of its students would return to classrooms only two or three days a week and would learn online in between. “Most schools will not be able to have all their kids in school at the same time,” said Mayor Bill de Blasio.

For a nation that prides itself on its public school system, it’s an extraordinary situation in this pandemic year.

With millions of the nation’s parents anxious about their children’s safety in the fall — and their own work interruptions if they must stay home — Trump continued to inject politics into public health… [emphasis added]

Inserted from <US News>

Trump Admin. Pushes For Schools To Fully Reopen This Fall, But How?

Democrats know that reopening schools would good for us politically, but we don’t want the political benefit derived from the murder of hundreds, if not thousands, of school children and their families infected with Trump* virus.

Educator rips Trump’s push to reopen schools amid pandemic

This is what will happen if criminal Fuhrer Trump* gets to sacrifice the lives of children and their families on the altar of his reelection campaign.

RESIST!!

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Jul 042020
 

It’s a relatively lazy holiday here in the CatBox.  I looked forward to today, because I would have been able to see Portland’s main fireworks display from my window.  Of course, it has been cancelled.  Maybe I’ll see it next year, if I live that long.  Tomorrow, please expect no more than a Personal Update or an Open Thread.  WWWendy is coming so destink the pungent TomCat, change my patch, goop and help with chores.  Also, because we’re running out of time, tomorrow is Infernal Revenue day in the CatBox.  Have a fine weekend!

Jig Zone Puzzle:

Today’s took me 4:15 (average 6:28).  To do it, click here.  How did you do?

Cartoon:

Trump* Virus Update:

0704TrumpVirusMap

US Cases: 2,891,380
US Deaths: 132,112

Short Takes:

From YouTube (Lincoln Project Channel): Gettysburg

This could not be more appropriate for today! We must remember those murdered by criminal Fuhrer Trump’s* racist Republican Reich! God bless those very few Republicans that understand this.  The smart ones have left or will soon leave the party.  RESIST!!

From Raw Story: Yet another senior Donald Trump advisor has tested positive for COVID-19.

“Kimberly Guilfoyle, the girlfriend of President Trump’s eldest son and a top fund-raising official for the Trump re-election campaign, tested positive for the coronavirus on Friday before a Fourth of July event at Mount Rushmore, a person familiar with her condition said,” The New York Times reported shortly before Trump’s speech began.

“Ms. Guilfoyle traveled to South Dakota with Mr. Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr., in anticipation of attending a huge fireworks display where the president was set to speak. They did not travel aboard Air Force One, according to the person familiar with her condition, and she was the only person in the group who tested positive,” the newspaper reported. “Still, that another person who was expected to be near Mr. Trump tested positive — and someone who most staff aides consider a member of the Trump family — is likely to renew attention around potential risks to the president.”

How rabid! She attended criminal Fuhrer Trump’s white supremacy super-spreader campaign show, while infected with Trump* virus and no mask or distancing. How many will die, because she spread her Fuhrer’s plague?  She needs to do one more thing: give her boyfriend’s father* a BIG, sloppy kiss!  RESIST!!

From YouTube (a blast from Woodstock): BERT SOMMER – AMERICA – WOODSTOCK 69


The next few songs are dedicated to all who were at Woodstock or wanted to be.  Most of us gave Bert a standing ovation for this song.  Ah… the memories!  RESIST!!

Vote Blue No Matter Who Top to Bottom!!

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Everyday Erinyes #222

 Posted by at 9:00 am  Politics
Jul 042020
 

Experts in autocracies have pointed out that it is, unfortunately, easy to slip into normalizing the tyrant, hence it is important to hang on to outrage. These incidents which seem to call for the efforts of the Greek Furies (Erinyes) to come and deal with them will, I hope, help with that. As a reminder, though no one really knows how many there were supposed to be, the three names we have are Alecto, Megaera, and Tisiphone. These roughly translate as “unceasing,” “grudging,” and “vengeful destruction.”

As perils go, this is not one that should cause immediate panic, and that’s in large part because it’s being addressed so early. But, in combination with CoViD-19 and climate change, it’s definitely food for thought.
================================================================

 

Alert but not alarmed: what to make of new H1N1 swine flu with ‘pandemic potential’ found in China

Shutterstock

Ian M. Mackay, The University of Queensland

Researchers have found a new strain of flu virus with “pandemic potential” in China that can jump from pigs to humans, triggering a suite of worrying headlines.

It’s excellent this virus has been found early, and raising the alarm quickly allows virologists to swing into action developing new specific tests for this particular flu virus.

But it’s important to understand that, as yet, there is no evidence of human-to-human transmission of this particular virus. And while antibody tests found swine workers in China have had it in the past, there’s no evidence yet that it’s particularly deadly.


Read more: Victoria is on the precipice of an uncontrolled coronavirus outbreak. Will the new measures work?


What we know so far

China has a wonderful influenza surveillance system across all its provinces. They keep track of bird, human and swine flus because, as the researchers note in their paper, “systematic surveillance of influenza viruses in pigs is essential for early warning and preparedness for the next potential pandemic.”

In their influenza virus surveillance of pigs from 2011 to 2018, the researchers found what they called “a recently emerged genotype 4 (G4) reassortant Eurasian avian-like (EA) H1N1 virus.” In their paper, they call the virus G4 EA H1N1. It has been ticking over since 2013 and became the majority swine H1N1 virus in China in 2018.

In plain English, they discovered a new flu that’s a mix of our human H1N1 flu and an avian-based flu.

What’s interesting is antibody tests picked up that workers handling swine in these areas have been infected. Among those workers they tested, about 10% (35 people out of 338 tested) showed signs of having had the new G4 EA H1N1 virus in the past. People aged between 18 to 35 years old seemed more likely to have had it.

Of note, though, was that a small percentage of general household blood samples from people who were expected to have had little pig contact were also antibody positive (meaning they had the virus in the past).

Importantly, the researchers found no evidence yet of human-to-human transmission. They did find “efficient infectivity and aerosol transmission in ferrets” – meaning there’s evidence the new virus can spread by aerosol droplets from ferret to ferret (which we often use as surrogates for humans in flu studies). G4-infected ferrets became sick, lost weight and acquired lung damage, just like those infected with one of our seasonal human H1N1 flu strains.

They also found the virus can infect human airway cells. Most humans don’t already have antibodies to the G4 viruses meaning most people’s immune systems don’t have the necessary tools to prevent disease if they get infected by a G4 virus.

In summary, this virus has been around a few years, we know it can jump from pigs to humans and it ticks all the boxes to be what infectious disease scholars call a PPP — a potential pandemic pathogen.

If a human does get this new G4 EA H1N1 virus, how severe is it?

We don’t have much evidence to work with yet but it’s likely people who got these infections in the past didn’t find it too memorable. There’s not a huge amount of detail in the new paper but of the people the researchers sampled, none died from this virus.

There’s no sign this new virus has taken off or spread in the regions of China where it was found. China has excellent virus surveillance systems and right now we don’t need to panic.

The World Health Organisation has said it is keeping a close eye on these developments and “it also highlights that we cannot let down our guard on influenza”.


Read more: 4 unusual things we’ve learned about the coronavirus since the start of the pandemic


What’s next?

People in my field — infectious disease research — are alert but not alarmed. New strains of flu do pop up from time to time and we need to be ready to respond when they do, watching carefully for signs of human-to-human transmission.

As far as I can tell, the specific tests we use for influenza in humans won’t identify this new G4 EA H1N1 virus, so we should design new tests and have them ready. Our general flu A screening test should work though.

In other words, we can tell if someone has what’s called “Influenza A” (one kind of flu virus we usually see in flu season) but that’s a catch-all term, and there are many strains of flu within that category. We don’t yet have a customised test to detect this new particular strain of flu identified in China. But we can make one quickly.

Being prepared at the laboratory level if we see strange upticks in influenza is essential and underscores the importance of pandemic planning, ongoing virus surveillance and comprehensive public health policies.

And as with all flus, our best defences are meticulous hand washing and keeping physical distance from others if you, or they, are at all unwell.The Conversation

Ian M. Mackay, Adjunct assistant professor, The University of Queensland

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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Alecto, Megaera, and Tisiphone, as badly as the United States is handling – or perhaps we should say not handling – both climate change and CoViD-19, if we continue to fail as spectacularly, this could become a real danger. Plus, this particular virus is just another new virus. We have not yet had to begin to think about old viruses lying in wait under the permafrost with the potential to leap out and bite us. These things are real, and, sadly, so is willful ignorance, which is the main thing standing in the way of our being able to deal with them. I wish there were a way you could just eliminate willful ignorance, but I am not holding my breath.

The Furies and I will be back.

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Jul 022020
 

The world is dealing with an unprecedented health crisis caused by a new virus. With new insights in the way COVID19 spreads, in the way the virus behaves and in the way to deal with the pandemic every day, it is now more important than ever to safeguard the information we share is accurate and fact-based. We have to inoculate ourselves against the fake news and misinformation that infect our newsfeeds and timelines at this crucial moment by fact-checking.

For the duration of the pandemic, I will try to give you an overview of the main issues in CoronaCheck, an Australian email newsletter with the latest from around the world concerning the coronavirus, but now appear only once a week.*


WHY FACT-CHECK?

As cases have continued to climb across Melbourne (in Victoria, Australia) doorknockers have targeted hotspot suburbs where community transmission is a concern, encouraging people to be tested.

Health Minister Jenny Mikakos said authorities had been “smashing targets for testing” with more than 164,000 people tested across Victoria and doorknockers reaching nearly 95,000 homes in just a few days,

But she said that more than 10,000 people had refused to be tested for a range of reasons, including that they may have already been swabbed.

She said officials were analysing the data for more clarity on their reasons. “It is concerning that the report that I have received is that some people believe coronavirus is a conspiracy or that it won’t impact on them.”

The statistics aren’t in yet, but it is worrying that people may believe unsubstantiated news and social-media myths and come to decisions based on these which could endanger their health and those around them and which could prevent the Victorian government from getting this outbreak under control. Apparently, fact-checking and countering online misinformation time and time again on social media is still very necessary as the following examples bear witness to.

THE ACCURACY OF COVID-19 TESTS


In one Facebook post spotted by Fact-check this week, a slick, shareable infographic posted by a newly-created Facebook page claims there is “no evidence” that COVID-19 tests used in Australia are accurate. The post, shared by Friends of Truth, also states they have not been safety tested and are “unapproved”.

A spokesman for the Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA) explained that there were two types of tests in Australia — PCR (polymerase chain reaction) tests used to diagnose COVID-19 and serology (antibody) tests, used to provide historic information about a person’s exposure to the virus.

“[The PCR] test is very accurate and is the primary method of diagnosis of a COVID-19 infection. False negative or false positive results can occur, but this is rare.”

“All sponsors of COVID-19 test kits included in the Australian Register of Therapeutic Goods (ARTG) are required [to] provide evidence to the TGA to support the quality and performance of the tests,” the spokesman continued.

On the claim that tests hadn’t undergone safety checks, the spokesman said the TGA was undertaking a “post-market review” of serology tests, including independent testing by the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity. Furthermore, Australian laboratories accredited to undertake COVID-19 testing were subject to “strict regulatory requirements” and “participated regularly in quality assurance programs to ensure the nucleic acid and serology-based COVID-19 tests in use are of the highest quality for the Australian community”.

At the beginning of the pandemic some tests were subject to an “emergency exemption” limited to accredited pathology laboratories but as there now are sufficient tests included in the ARTG exemptions are no longer necessary.

 

DON’T TAKE FACEBOOK POLLS AT FACE VALUE

The Friends of Truth page also claims that a poll conducted by 2GB radio host Ben Fordham found that “79 per cent of Australians oppose a compulsory vaccination”; a claim which has been shared more than 1,400 times.

But that statistic is problematic at best as the poll in question was not conducted according to professional standards because the question, “Do you think a Coronavirus vaccine should be compulsory?” was posted on Facebook, where the “yes/no” poll attracting 53,000 responses.

Anne Kruger, Asia-Pacific Director of verification organisation First Draft, told RMIT ABC Fact-check that First Draft researchers had regularly observed groups and individuals targeting Facebook polls to manipulate results. “Followers are asked to ‘raid’ the polls and vote according to the groups’ desired outcome,” Ms Kruger said. “This underscores the lack of reliability from such polls for the public to make informed decisions.”

Fact-check found the poll was shared by celebrity chef and coronavirus conspiracy theorist Pete Evans, who encouraged his 1.5 million followers to answer “No”, and was also posted multiple times to the page of the conspiracy group “99% unite Main Group — it’s us or them”.

That made the poll  “certainly not restricted to Australians,” she added. “We can see it was shared in public anti-vaccination and conspiracy theory groups in other countries as well, including the US, with members encouraged to vote ‘No’ to the question about the coronavirus vaccine.”

A further search by Michael Workman from the ABC’s Investigations Unit, connected with CrossCheck, found that Friends of Truth‘s website was registered to Ben Mitchell. On his Facebook page, musician Ben Mitchell posted a video in May stating that he had set up a Friends of Truth page on LBRY, a video, music and e-book sharing website.

 

HOW ABOUT THAT “SECOND WAVE”?

As Victoria battles a surge in coronavirus cases, the state’s Deputy Chief Medical Officer has sought to reassure the community that the uptick is not a “second wave”. But what does that mean? And can we expect a second wave eventually?

According to fact-checkers at USA Today, the concept of a “second wave” was first used as a metaphor during the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic, when the disease briefly abated during summer months before fatalities picked up again.

But medical historian Howard Markel told USA Today the disease may not have come in “waves” at all. “It may be that they were hiding from it and as more people came out they were exposed to it,” he said.

The fact-checkers found that a claim that all past pandemics had featured a second, more deadly wave was historically inaccurate and that there was “no rule in epidemiology” dictating that a pandemic involves increasingly severe waves of infection.

“In many instances, including the current COVID-19 pandemic, the concept of waves may not accurately describe the course of the pandemic,” they concluded. “Rather, the trajectory of the virus will largely be determined by the varied human responses to the new coronavirus.”

 

FROM WASHINGTON, D.C.

Let’s not look at Trump this time but at his deputy, Vice President Mike Pence and his attempts to downplay the COVID-19 outbreak in the US.

According to fact-checkers at the Associated Press, Mr Pence last week told US senators that they should focus on the “encouraging signs”, and on Sunday said in a television interview that coronavirus outbreaks were occurring in only “4 per cent of all the counties in this country”.

But as AP reported, while it was correct that about 4 per cent of US counties were reporting increases in COVID-19 cases, they accounted for more than 20 per cent of the US population. “The emphasis on a percentage of counties makes for a misleading portrayal of the virus threat,” the fact-checkers said.

CNN’s Fact First also took a look at Mr Pence’s claims, including that all 50 US states were “opening up safely and responsibly”. According to the fact-checkers, Mr Pence’s claim came as “about 30 states were experiencing increases in the rate of new cases” and as states “reopened without having met the administration’s recommended safety milestones”.

Mr Pence also claimed that “to one extent or another, the volume of new cases coming in is a reflection of great success in expanding testing across the country”. However, as the New York Times pointed out in a fact-check, “ramped up testing alone does not account for the uptick in cases”. There had also been an increase in positive tests as a proportion of all tests.

 

Things that don’t cure and/or prevent COVID-19

#33: Hand dryers
“Hand dryers are not effective in killing the 2019-nCoV. To protect yourself against the new coronavirus, you should frequently clean your hands with an alcohol-based hand rub or wash them with soap and water.” – World Health Organisation

 

*The facts in this article are derived from the Australian RMIT ABC Fact Check newsletters which in turn draw on their own resources and those of their colleagues within the International Fact-Checking Network (IFCN), of which RMIT ABC Fact Check is a member.

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