With the Presidential Election less than two months away, we have reached the time that projections of results can be closer to reality that they could have been earlier on. To that end I have prepared a 2012 election map with my own projections.
Map credit: 270 to win
I moved MI, MN and WI onto the blue column, because Obama leads all three by over five points in the polls, and because Willard and the Billionaire Bankster PACS have pulled their money from those states.
Given this configuration, Obama leads the electoral vote count 247 to 191 and needs only 23 more to win.
The election will be decided in the eight states that are too close to call. Here are the current polling results for them.
Toss-up States
State
EV
Obama
Romney
CO
9
47.8
45.5
FL
29
47.3
46.7
IA
6
45
44.8
NV
6
49
45.7
NH
4
48.3
44.8
NC
15
45.3
47.3
OH
18
46.2
45.5
VA
13
47.3
46.7
One state, Florida, could put Obama over the top, and he has a small lead there and in all but one of the other seven.
While I consider Obama’s reelection highly likely, that should not be cause for complacency. There is no way for this projection to account for the votes that will not be cast, because of Republican measures to deprive legitimate Democratic voters of their right to vote.
Every Vote Counts
Especially YOURS!
12 Responses to “Election Projection–9/9/2012”
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Yes we must get there and vote. Donot let the republian/tea party propaganda get in the way Thanks Tom
"While I consider Obama’s reelection highly likely, that should not be cause for complacency. "
I will vote and give anyone a ride that also wants to vote…
There's still time to get people to register, also.
I know. I recently posted an online registration widget.
Until we put an end to faith based voting anything is possible for the party willing to CHEAT!
Welcome STH. 🙂
You're right!
NO room for complacency !! Its not over til it's over-!! Vote- help others to vote– reach out to family friends and neighbors– Help them register–VOTE!! There is no room to stay home !
To be very honest, at multiple sites I visit I'm now seeing a barrage of Polls showing us in a solid lead.
THEY MAKE ME NERVOUS AS HELL!
So I strongly agree with you, and heartily endorse your warning …:
"That should NOT be cause for complacency"
We can't afford to be complacent, the hanging chads should remind us of this. Everyone needs to vote!
If people care about their future; their kid's futures; their grandkid's futures — get out and vote!
If people are complacent, they don't care about themselves, their kids or their grandkids! It means they don't give a rat's ass!
Voting is a RIGHT! Voting is more . . . it is a SACRED DUTY!
Vote Democratic 2012!!!!! Vote Obama/Biden 2012!!!!!
No complacency allowed! Remember how GW stole the election from Al Gore.
Since so many commented so similarly, I'll agree all at once. We must all vote and do what we can to help others vote. Complacency is a huge mistake. Even if we are ahead at the top of the ticket, we need to be there to support down-ballot candidates and issues.