Nov 032020
 

Not really long enough for a post – but too important to ignore, or delay, and it just came in.

The Election Integrity Project held a seminar just this morning, and Eric Smalley, technology editor for The Conversation, attended and felt this information was the most important to share:

  • Russian efforts, by way of the shadowy Internet Research Agency, are focused on amplifying claims by Americans of fraud by Democrats, but unlike 2016 the Russian participation is getting dramatically less traction.
  • A major concern is entities purporting to be livestreaming video but who are in fact using old and/or unrelated video to create a false narrative. This was first seen during the George Floyd protests.
  • The danger zone is the time between the polls closing and results coming in. People will be anxiously watching for news and information, and entities pushing disinformation/misinformation will attempt to fill the news vacuum.
  • Things the Election Integrity Project is watching:

    There is likely to be lots of online video showing incidents of intimidation that will be rapidly decontextualized and used to delegitimize the election.

    Both Facebook and Twitter will be labeling problematic posts, but only Twitter disallows sharing of those posts. Will Facebook need to follow suit?

And when I say share, I mean share.  This was in an email  from The Conversation.  Feel free to share the inforation with friends and family.

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Everyday Erinyes #238

 Posted by at 10:00 am  Politics
Oct 312020
 

Experts in autocracies have pointed out that it is, unfortunately, easy to slip into normalizing the tyrant, hence it is important to hang on to outrage. These incidents which seem to call for the efforts of the Greek Furies (Erinyes) to come and deal with them will, I hope, help with that. As a reminder, though no one really knows how many there were supposed to be, the three names we have are Alecto, Megaera, and Tisiphone. These roughly translate as “unceasing,” “grudging,” and “vengeful destruction.”

Quot homines, tot sententiae.” (Or in other words, “Opinions are like [fill in NSFW blank]; everybody has one.”) I have another election article I was ready to use, but it can wait. I suspect everyone’s nerves are as shredded as mine about, not the election itself, but the Trump* response to it, and this article addresses contested elections directly, and may (or, of course, not) be a calming influence, or at the very least give us ideas on how to be ready for anything.
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A contested election: 5 essential reads

What happens when an election is contested?
Gorilla Studio/Getty

Naomi Schalit, The Conversation

Democracy in America could hit a rough patch soon, as election officials tally votes in the presidential race. More than 350 lawsuits have already been filed this year across the country over how, where and when voters could cast ballots. One presidential candidate – Donald Trump – has refused to commit to accepting the election’s results.

All that sets up the country for a disputed presidential election, with recounts and court battles in key states and a nation left wondering both who will lead it and whether they should have faith in the election’s integrity. We asked five scholars to provide a history of contested elections in the United States and to explain what happens when an election is disputed. Here are those stories, from our archives.

1. Things should be OK

“If Trump refuses to accept defeat in November, the republic will survive intact, as it has 5 out of 6 times in the past.” That’s the headline on political scientist Alexander Cohen’s story.

Cohen lays out what elections normally do: They “generate legitimacy because citizens contribute to the selection of leadership.” And even in contested elections of the past, he continues, that legitimacy has been sustained because those disputes have been handled according to the rules. Politicians and citizens may have “howled” about the unfairness of the outcome, but, Cohen reports, they accepted it.

Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters' Shannon Bushey shows an official county ballot collection box
Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters’ Shannon Bushey shows an official county ballot collection box on Oct. 13, 2020 in San Jose, California.
Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

2. How to get to the Supreme Court

State law controls almost every aspect of voting, so if there’s an election dispute, then it will go to a state court, writes constitutional scholar John Finn. “A candidate who wants to challenge the result in any particular state must first identify what provision of state law the election did not satisfy.” Most of the time, a state court decision will determine which presidential candidate gets the state’s electoral votes, with a final decision made by the state’s supreme court.

But then there is Bush v. Gore, the case that settled the 2000 election, which demonstrated that an election dispute can end up being heard by the Supreme Court if someone charges that a federal constitutional right has been violated. It’s possible, Finn writes, that several challenges similar to Bush v. Gore could arise in the 2020 election. “And where the lawsuits involved in Bush v. Gore all originated in Florida,” he writes, “this time the chaos may reach across several states.”

3. Throw the vote to Congress

There is another way that an election can end up being decided by others than the voters and the Electoral College. Not when it’s a disputed election, but when the Electoral College members are tied or don’t give any candidate a straight majority. That throws the election to the House of Representatives.

Political scientist Donald Brand writes that this method of determining a winner was not exactly the first choice of the framers, who “sought to avoid congressional involvement in presidential elections.” But if the Electoral College couldn’t provide a majority vote for one candidate, the election would wind up in the House, “presumably because as the institution closest to the people, it could bestow some democratic legitimacy on a contingent election.”

The front of the US Supreme Court building.
Could the presidential election be decided by the Supreme Court?
Astrid Riecken For The Washington Post via Getty Images

4. Stolen elections leave bitterness

The republic may survive, but some disputed elections have “divided the nation, in ways that were hard to heal, or perhaps never healed.”

Political scientist Sarah Burns says that the election of 1824, which was resolved with what was then called a “corrupt bargain,” and the disputed 2000 election, which was effectively ended by the Supreme Court, both caused such anger that they poisoned national politics for some time. Critics of the court’s decisive role in 2000 pointed out that “Bush had failed to win the popular vote, and that the Supreme Court vote was split 5-4, with the conservative justices in the majority delivering an outcome favorable to their political leanings.”

5. Judicial credibility

Judges like to stay in their branch of government – the judiciary – and leave the politics to politicians. Supreme Court Justice Felix Frankfurter warned his fellow jurists to avoid “embroilment” in “the political thicket” of “party contests and party interests.” But a disputed election will be fought in the courts, and that’s dangerous for the standing of any court, especially the U.S. Supreme Court. Voters will see judges’ actions and ascribe political intent to them, even if that’s not the case.

Austin Sarat, a legal scholar and political scientist, rakes into a pile the hundreds of lawsuits that have already been mounted over how the election is conducted this year, describing what they aim to do. He believes that the election’s outcome is likely to end up in court – and he says there’s danger ahead, for the lower courts as well as the Supreme Court.

“Whatever decisions judges make this year, the rush to the courthouse to shape the 2020 election will pose real challenges for their legitimacy, which ultimately depends on the public’s belief that they are not simply political actors.”

Editor’s note: This story is a roundup of articles from The Conversation’s archives.The Conversation

Naomi Schalit, Senior Editor, Politics + Society, The Conversation

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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AMT, anything you can do to help ensure that we don’t have to worry about this will be deeply appreciated by all.

The Furies and I will be back

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Oct 292020
 

The Last Free and Fair Election? – Won’t be this election. If this one is stolen, it will have been the previous election which deserves that title.

Family Separation Vol. 279 – As Beau pointed out, some of those parents will only have an address that is a row and plot number. “Could you bear it?” Plus, people seek asylum because someone wants to kill them, Sending them back to that ….

Pennsylvania Voter Values – Well, this is scary. But then any deep dive into the minds (by courtesy) of Trump* supporters is scary.

Witches Zoom – Well. Now we know!

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Sep 212020
 

It’s another tired painful day here in the CatBox.  I still have no news on getting my stent.  I wanted to do more today, but I overslept, and I’m just not feeling up to it.  I’m afraid you guys may be carrying the ball until I get my stent and recover more of my strength.  Tonight is a WWWendy night.  Oh God, it’s Monday!

Jig Zone Puzzle:

Today’s took me 2:53 (average 4:21).  To do it, click here.  How did you do?

Cartoon:

Trump* Virus Update:

0921TrumpVirusMap

Click for interactive maps

US Cases: 7,011,463
US Deaths: 204,167
Plus thousands of Trump’s* GOP plague murders Republicans are hiding from us

Short Takes:

From Crooks and Liars: MAGA Nutjobs Block Entrance To Voting Site In Fairfax, Virginia

These Trumpanzee idiots are protesting IN-PERSON voting, now. Blocking entry to polling places is a felony, by the way.

Am I the only one not surprised? Nevertheless, ‘Trumpanzee’ is an insult to the apes!  RESIST!!

From Alternet:

Aprominent [sic] psychiatrist who spent years studying Nazi Germany has called for mental health professionals to speak out about President Trump’s “falsification of reality” ahead of the election, warning that his attacks on the truth echo those of the Nazis.

Dr. Robert Jay Lifton, distinguished professor emeritus at John Jay College and the Graduate Center of the City University of New York and a leading psychohistorian who has written extensively about doctors who aided Nazi war crimes, has long called for mental health experts to defy warnings from the American Psychiatric Association (APA) and speak out about Trump’s mental health. Lifton recently published a book entitled “Losing Reality: On Cults, Cultism, and the Mindset of Political and Religious Zealotry” and was one of the 27 mental health experts featured in “The Dangerous Case of Donald Trump,” the bestseller edited by Yale psychiatrist Dr. Bandy X. Lee in which mental health professionals assessed the president.

Lifton told Salon that the book and a Yale conference on the topic began the movement of “psychologists and psychiatrists speaking out against Trump.”

“I spoke about what I called malignant normality that was being imposed on us, and the need to be witnessing professionals who told the truth and oppose the malignant normality,” he said in an interview last week.

Lifton said that Trump’s supporters and enablers exhibit the same “cult-like behavior” that he has studied, adding that the current administration has “Trumpified” every part of the federal government, in much the same way that the German government was “Nazified” under Adolf Hitler.

What other pattern would Republicans follow? I called GW Bush, aka Nincompoop Nazi, the Fuhrer of the 4th Reich. Republicans planned to make him permanent, but when their policies caused the economy to collapse, they abandoned Bush to let Obama inherit their damage and blame him for it. Now they have chosen Trump* as Fuhrer. That he’s a Nazi goes without saying. Being a Nazi a prerequisite to become Fuhrer of the Republican Reich!  RESIST!!

From YouTube (a blast of past protest): Crosby Stills Nash – Carry On / Questions

 

Love that guitar in Questions! Ah… the memories! Protest like the 60s!  RESIST!!

Vote Blue No Matter Who Top to Bottom!!

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Sep 072020
 

It’s a relatively lazy holiday  here in the CatBox.  My esophageal tumor is making eating more painful and difficult.  I’ll talk to Evelyn about that, when I go in Wednesday.  My AC is acting up intermittently.  When I woke up, this morning, it was pumping out heat and the inside temp was 89°.  It wouldn’t power down, so I flipped the circuit breaker.  Then I coaxed it into working again, for now.  I’m babying it until Maintenance Dept. gets here.  Of course this has to happen on a 3 day weekend.  If you’re driving, please stay safe.  Thank God it’s Monday.

Jig Zone Puzzle:

Today’s took me 2:48 (average 4:24).  To do it, click here.  How did you do?

Cartoon:

Trump* Virus Update:

0907TrumpVirusMap

Click for interactive map

US Cases: 6,462,189
US Deaths: 193,259
Plus thousands of GOP plague murder victims Republicans are hiding from us.

Short Takes:

From Alternet: Warning of the very real chance of a “nightmare scenario” in which President Donald Trump misleads the American people over the results of the November election—or refuses to leave office voluntarily if voted out—Sen. Bernie Sanders is raising the alarm and mobilizing his army of supporters to be aware of just how dangerous a game the president is now playing.

In an interview with Politico and an email sent to his massive email list Friday, Sanders suggested that too many news organizations, social media companies, and lawmakers—in addition to the broader public—remain unaware of the manner in which Trump is laying the groundwork for a potentially devastating series of events.

“Trump is now using his lies and misinformation to sow confusion and chaos in the election process and undermine American democracy,” stated in the email, sent to millions of his supporters on Friday. “In other words, he does not intend to accept the results of the election if he loses and leave office voluntarily. This is not just a ‘constitutional crisis.’ This is a threat to everything this country stands for.

Speaking with Politico earlier in the day, Sanders said one crucial thing to be done immediately is to educate people. “What we have got to do in the next two months is to alert the American people about what that nightmarish scenario might look like in order to prepare them for that possibility and talk about what we do if that happens,” he said… [emphasis added]

I fully agree with Bernie. The people of the US need to be fully informed about Trump’s* likely intent to overthrow the government of the US and how he is setting up an attempt to do so.  RESIST!!

From YouTube (CNN Channel): Schiff: Barr flat-out misled with a ‘blatantly false statement’

Barrf Bag Alert!!

 

If Russia, Trump* and the Republican Reich were not working together, their propaganda lies would not be identical. As for Barrf, he’ll never catch up to Trump*, his Fuhrer, in number of lies told, but he sure as hell is trying!  RESIST!!

From YouTube (a blast of past protest): Phil Ochs Draft Dodger Rag

 

Ah… the memories! Protest like the 60s!  RESIST!!

Vote Blue No Matter Who Top to Bottom!!

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Two Months to Go!

 Posted by at 11:19 am  Politics
Sep 032020
 

There are two months left until election day, so here are some projection on the Presidency, Senate Races, House Races and Governor races.  All maps are embedded from 270 to Win.


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

 

As badly as Jo Biden is beating the asshole, whose vile name I prefer not to mention, it’s a lot closer in the Electoral College.  There are enough “Leans” and “Tossup” states that another disaster could happen.


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

 

The Senate is a tossup.  However, even if we win all six tossup seats and all three leans Republican seats, Republicans can still control the Senate with a 44 vote minority, unless we nuke the Republican filibastards!


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

 

The House looks good.  The more the better!  That’s where our advantage in population overpowers their advantage in geography.


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

 

The Governors races show that we are still behind on the local level.  One Republican in power at any level, from dawg catcher up, is one Republican too many.

In conclusion, we still have a lot of work to do.

RESIST!!

 

Vote Blue No Matter Who Top to Bottom!!

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