Aug 062023
 

“The Gulf Stream is about to collapse!” the headlines scream. “It could happen as early as 2025! Total chaos is just around the corner!”

Or is it?

Face it – news people relish sensationalistic headlines, because as the old saw goes, if it bleeds, it leads. Any story that can generate click-bait headlines gets more attention. I have shared stories like this with my extensive mailing list to which I send articles and petitions, although I sometimes caution people to take such with a grain of salt or two.

Now cooler heads are speaking out. “Not so fast!” they declare. Yes, the Gulf Stream may collapse, but not for a few decades.

True, our planet is getting hotter, and the evidence points strongly to human actions as the main cause. However, that does not mean we are headed straight for Doomsday. We could be en route to complete societal collapse as weather patterns shift, leading to droughts, crop failures, famines, mass refugee migrations, disease and war. Thus, it can’t hurt to prepare for the worst. On the other hand, we shouldn’t get “Debbie Downer” syndrome and moan there is nothing we can do, we’re going to be back to troglodytes in a generation. We still have hope to curtail climate change and reduce its worst effects. We cannot stop the planet from warming – we have to deal with what this will bring about. But we can each do our little bit.

Climate change is prompting ice caps and glaciers to melt faster. More cold freshwater in the northern Atlantic slows down the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), and this weakens the gulf stream. But will it suddenly shut down in 2025? Probably not. Computer models may have suggested a cessation or at least a great weakening of the stream as early as 2025, but computer models are just that – models. They can give indications and reveal trends, but they are not always perfect or even accurate predictors of what will come.

Evidence from satellites suggests that the gulf stream has been weakening since the early 1990s, and it could shift south. Even if it does not turn off in 2025, even if it continues its merry way well into the 21st century, a weaker gulf stream means colder winters in northeastern North America and northwestern Europe. We will still see more and stronger hurricanes, as well as greater weather extremes, expanding deserts, wet areas getting wetter and dry areas getting drier. Climate change is already affecting weather patterns, and could have some affects we have not anticipated. Changes in ocean currents can be devastating to large swaths of land, if not entire continents.

However, we should not react with fear and panic, but preparation. We also shouldn’t take too seriously the Doomsday Dons hollering about an imminent collapse of the gulf stream, or the AMOC, though there is plenty of compelling evidence they are both getting weaker. We don’t fully understand the complexity of ocean currents, or weather, or climate. We do, however, know the planet is getting hotter, and that human action is causing this or exacerbating a natural trend. We need to lean on our elected officials to do more to curb our contribution to climate change, as well as prepare for the troubles it will bring.

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Everyday Erinyes #382

 Posted by at 2:45 pm  Politics
Aug 062023
 

Experts in autocracies have pointed out that it is, unfortunately, easy to slip into normalizing the tyrant, hence it is important to hang on to outrage. These incidents which seem to call for the efforts of the Greek Furies (Erinyes) to come and deal with them will, I hope, help with that. As a reminder, though no one really knows how many there were supposed to be, the three names we have are Alecto, Megaera, and Tisiphone. These roughly translate as “unceasing,” “grudging,” and “vengeful destruction.”

In the last couple of months, I think we were all shocked that the state of Alabama chose to defy the Supreme Court of the United States by redrawing the map of its Congressional Districts to be more, not less, racist. But just because we haven’t noticed it before doesn’t mean it hasn’t been done. Each of the parts of this article refers us to a longer article, more dedicated to the events of that particular case and its repercussions. But you can certainly get an idea from the summaries. The third one in particular is noteworthy because it is predictive of where we may be going in the future – especially if we continue to lose bits and pieces of our democracy.
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Alabama is not the first state to defy a Supreme Court ruling: 3 essential reads on why that matters

Police officers patrolling the front of the Supreme Court building.
Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

Howard Manly, The Conversation

In its 5-4 Allen v. Milligan decision on June 8, 2023, the U.S. Supreme Court ordered the state of Alabama to redraw its congressional voting districts and consider race as it made up the new districts. The court had found that the state’s political districts diluted the strength of Black voters by denying them the possibility of electing a second Black member to the state’s congressional delegation.

While the court did not specifically order the state to create a second majority-Black congressional district, Chief Justice John Roberts made it clear how he viewed the long history of racist voter suppression in Alabama – and what factors should weigh prominently in the state’s new political map.

“States shouldn’t let race be the primary factor in deciding how to draw boundaries, but it should be a consideration,” Roberts wrote. “The line we have drawn is between consciousness and predominance.”

Alabama state officials submitted the state’s new boundaries by the Republican-controlled state legislature in late July.

But the new districts still include only one in which Black voters could reasonably elect a candidate of their own choosing, not two as voting rights advocates had argued – and as the Supreme Court appeared to endorse.

Over the years, The Conversation U.S. has published numerous stories exploring the consequences of not complying with court rulings and what resistance, including resistance to decisions involving race, does to the legitimacy of America’s legal system. Here are selections from those articles.

1. When the Supreme court loses Americans’ loyalty

As political scientists Joseph Daniel Ura of Texas A&M and Matthew Hall of Notre Dame wrote, the Supreme Court’s 1954 decision in Brown v. Board of Education revealed “white Americans’ tenuous loyalty” to the authority of the federal judiciary.

In Brown, the court unanimously held that racial segregation in public education violates the equal protection clause of the 14th Amendment.

“Rather than recognizing the court’s authoritative interpretation of the Constitution,” Ura and Hall explained, “many white Americans participated in an extended, violent campaign of resistance to the desegregation ruling.”

The result of such resistance is clear. “Eroding legitimacy means that government officials and ordinary people become increasingly unlikely to accept public policies with which they disagree,” they wrote.

2. Oklahoma resists ruling over tribal authority

In June 2020, the Supreme Court decided in McGirt v. Oklahoma that the Muscogee Creek reservation in Oklahoma is Indian Country.

As an expert in federal Indian law at Wayne State University, Kirsten Matoy Carlson wrote that the ruling meant federal criminal laws applied to much of eastern Oklahoma as Indian Country and enabled the federal government – instead of the state of Oklahoma – to prosecute crimes committed by and against American Indians there.

Oklahoma state officials refused to comply and actively resisted implementation of the McGirt decision. They asked the Supreme Court to reverse it over 40 times.

The strategy paid off. The U.S. Supreme Court took up a similar case and in June 2022, decided to roll back some of its 2020 decision.

As Carlson wrote, “Conflicts between state and tribal governments are not new; states have long tried to assert power – often violently – over sovereign tribes.”

3. Court’s power may pose a danger to its legitimacy

Political scientist Richard L. Pacelle Jr. at University of Tennessee, Knoxville has examined how the power and authority of the court have waxed and waned over the centuries.

“That immense power has arguably made the court a leading player in enacting policy in the U.S,” Pacelle wrote. “It may also cause the loss of the court’s legitimacy, which can be defined as popular acceptance of a government, political regime or system of governance.”

Editor’s note: This story is a roundup of articles from The Conversation’s archives.The Conversation

Howard Manly, Race + Equity Editor, The Conversation

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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Alecto, Megaera, and Tisiphone, it’s noteworthy that all the resistance seems to come from people – and parties – who profess their dedication to “law and order” – yet when it comes to actually administering law by applying the strongest legal decisions, suddenly they disappear. Or at least their commitment to “law and order” does. Eventually we who actually do believe in law and order, as well as facts, reason, and logic, are going to have to address this dissonance. Ignoring it is obviously not working.

The Furies and I will be back.

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Aug 062023
 

[Trump** must want to be locked up.  Why?  To instigate another insurretion?  What are we missing here?]
Glenn Kirschner – Trump’s arraignment: a speedy trial is coming; Trump’s threatening post; and possible consequences

The Lincoln Project – Clown Convention

MSNBC (Crooks & Liars) – [it’s probably findable on YouTube, but this is such a nice, tight clip I just went with it.]

Farron Balanced – Trump Supporters Hurl Racist Threats At Prosecutor Before She Indicts Trump

Dog Waits For Months For Mom To Come Home From The Hospital

Beau – Let’s talk about how the GOP indicted Trump….

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Aug 062023
 

Yesterday, the radio opera was Benjamin Britten’s “Turn of the Screw” (libretto by Myfanwy Piper – she was a Welsh poet and librettist), based on the novella by Henry James. I saw this opera performed when I was in college, and I had read the book, and I’ve read critical works about both, and I have no idea what happens in it. But that’s because no oe does. (Well, maybe Henry James, but he’s dead. And Britten and Piper knew what they intended, but they’re dead too.) It’s one of two things. Either a governess comes to s country home to care for a young brother and sister, where the ghostsof the previous (deceased) governess and a (recently deceased) butler have demonically possessed them. Or else, a governess comes to a country home to take care of a young brother and sister, but becomes delusional and evuntually psychotic. And part of the point is that none of the creators – not James, not Britten, not Piper – wanted anyone to know for sure which was “reality.” It’s creepier this way. Britten’s other operas include “Peter Grimes” (considered his masterpiece). “Billy Budd,” “A Midsummer Night’s Dream,” and “Albert Herring,” of which only Peter Grimes is at all ambiguous. And it’s not ambiguous in the same way. There’s no question about what happened – only the degree to which Grimes could have prevented the worst of it if he had done things differently. I’m not sure of that either, but there is enough information that I can understand taking a position and being comfortable with that position, either way. Turn of the Screw, not so much. Melodically, probably the most memorable part is the little song the children sing, “Malo, malo, malo, malo” which due to the peculiarities of Latin really does translate to “I would rather be in an apple tree than a naughty boy in adversity.” Of course the repetition of it doesn’t hurt in making it memorable, nor does the growing implication that i’s darker than the actual meaning would suggest. This production was recorded in Budapest in September 2022, and conducted by Ivan Fischer.  It’s scored for only 13 musicians.  Britten really demonstrates that, if you know wht you re doing, you can get a wole lot of color out of an ensemle that small.  There are six characters, and five of them are sopranos.  The other is a tenor.  Most composers will make their villains baritones, and especially if the villain is supernatural.  I find it much scarier if that character is a tenor.

Cartoon –

Short Takes –

Today’s Edition Newsletter – Our role in ensuring accountability.
Quote – We find ourselves in an unfair situation: To hold Trump to account for his crimes, we must defeat him politically. Embedded in that unfair proposition are two disturbing corollaries:
If Trump (or a surrogate) is elected, a Republican Attorney General will dismiss the charges against Trump; and
Republicans in Congress will accept that perversion of justice by Trump and his Attorney General as “business as usual” in the post-truth, post-democracy second Trump administration.
Click through (and click “Continue Reading”). He’s right. It isn’t fair at all. But – if you thought you could sit back and let the Special Counsel’s office work – you can’t. Actually, I’m sure no one here was intending to sit back and relax for anything longer than a short victory lap. But – if you know anyone who is – best pass this on.

NPR – Petting other people’s dogs, even briefly, can boost your health.
Quote – I started pondering the power of dogs during one of my daily strolls around my neighborhood. Almost invariably, I’ll run into at least one person walking their dog. If I get the OK to pet the pooch, it’s a joyous moment of cooing and sloppy kisses. I always walk away from these canine exchanges feeling just a bit more relaxed, and happy. And that got me wondering, could these short interactions with other people’s dogs actually be good for me?
Click through for story. Though not mentioned, I’m sure this is also true for cats – for some people, even more so. “Dog people” and “cat people” do exist (granted with a good deal of overlap.)

Food For Thought

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Aug 052023
 

I think I can see why Glenn is doing posts a bit fewer and farther between. I hope y’all are OK with the substitutions]
Talking Feds – Trump Indictment Reveals TERRIFYING SCENARIO We Narrowly Avoided

The Lincoln Project – Whining GOP, Indictment Number Three

Thom Hartmann – How Dictators Manipulate Your Brain Using Science!

MSNBC – ‘Deranged and deluded’: Republican strategist slams ongoing GOP ‘stolen election’ conspiracies

Pittie Is Terrified Of Kittens

Beau – Let’s talk about an old car and Smith’s indictment of Trump….

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Aug 052023
 

As mentioned in my reply to JD’s post of

Young Americans Who Identify With Gun Culture Are More Likely To Believe In Male Supremacy, Research Shows

Here’s the bothersome (at least to me) slideshow I put together of the NRA’s efforts at “grooming” or indoctrinating children into the gun culture:

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Aug 052023
 

Yesterday, It was fairly quiet. Actually, it was really quiet around here – and there wasn’t that much in the news. Of course Thursday was the big news day. After that, most other news is going to be anticlimactic. I did manage to find a couple of things to say, though. WRT the FFT, ordinarily I’d put it in the video thread. But the success story, which I covered here, but not from this angle, is a victory most of us, maybe all of us were part of, as he points out.

Cartoon – 05 0805Cartoon.jpg

Short Takes –

The 19th – Young Americans who identify with gun culture are more likely to believe in male supremacy, research shows
Quote – Pasha Dashtgard, the director of research at PERIL and an expert on male supremacy and online radicalization, said one factor propelling this sentiment is a shifting economic landscape in America. “In places of economic instability, men are shifting from this attitude of man as provider to man as protector,” he said. “You may not be able to, as a man, be the primary breadwinner, but you can — through acquiring guns and the willingness to use guns for violence — reclaim your masculinity as a protector.” Even in young people, this sentiment was notable and behind many of the things that participants expressed to the researchers during interviews. Dashtgard said this speaks to a larger cultural dynamic at play currently, where many White men are feeling unsure of how to articulate themselves as men in current society. As a result, many young men are turning to guns as an “unimpeachable access to masculinity.”
Click through for details. “What a surprise!” said no one ever.Apparently we need to provide education to teach people who don’t realize it that a gun and a penis are not the same.

Colorado Public Radio – ‘I Am the Bridge’: How a poem being presented at an African cultural event in Arvada was created by 50 people from different ethnicities and cultures
Quote – Words of resilience, marginalization, trepidation and community were spoken when about 50 people showed up on July 1 at a spiritual center in Arvada to brainstorm lines for what eventually became “I Am the Bridge: A Poem By All Of Us.” It’s a four-page poem with contributions from local Native Americans, Asians, Hispanic people, Jewish people, European people, Black Americans and African immigrants. It will be performed by seven people, one representing each of these groups, at the Arvada Center on Saturday evening.
Click through for a few quotes and more information. It isn’t Amanda Gorman, but it is powerful nevertheless.

Food For Thought

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Aug 042023
 

Glenn Kirschner – The 3 most incriminating witnesses in new Trump indictment? Meadows, Pence and …. Trump himself!

The Lincoln Project – Unintelligent Life

MSNBC – ‘Fearless’: The judge Trump will face in Jan. 6 criminal coup trial

The Ring of Fire – Biden’s Biggest Election Threat Isn’t Trump It Is Voters Not Showing Up

Great Dane Finds a New Grandma On Hiking Trail

Beau – Let’s talk about Biden, complaints, and jobs….

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