Aug 142011
 

There is a battle going on in the Republican class war for millionaires, billionaires and corporate criminals.  While the focus for Democrats is on jobs, that for Republicans is for austerity.  After all, every penny spent on people who are in need, deserving, or both is a penny Republicans can’t spend on socialism for the rich.  The economic evidence is so obvious to all but the most highly-priced “play for pay” economists that even Republican economist’s oppose austerity.  Sadly, they are not getting the attention they deserve.

15austerityThe boasts of Congressional Republicans about their cost-cutting victories are ringing hollow to some well-known economists, financial analysts and corporate leaders, including some Republicans, who are expressing increasing alarm over Washington’s new austerity.

Their critiques have grown sharper since last week, when President Obama signed his deficit reduction deal with Republicans and, a few days later, when Standard & Poor’s subsequently downgraded the credit rating of the United States.

But even before that, macroeconomists and private sector forecasters were warning that the direction in which the new House Republican majority had pushed the White House and Congress this year — for immediate spending cuts, no further stimulus measures and no tax increases, ever — was the wrong one for addressing the nation’s two main ills, a weak economy now and projections of unsustainably high federal debt in coming years.

Instead, these critics say, Washington should be focusing on stimulating the economy in the near term to induce people to spend money and create jobs, while simultaneously settling on a long-term plan for paying down federal debts.

There is broad disagreement among economists about the proper balance between spending cuts and tax increases in reducing a government’s debts. Some studies by both liberal and conservative economists suggest that emphasizing spending cuts is better for long-term growth. But there are few if any precedents for paying down such a large debt solely through spending cuts.

Among those calling for a mix of cuts and revenues are onetime standard-bearers of Republican economic philosophy like Martin Feldstein, an adviser to President Ronald Reagan, and Henry M. Paulson Jr., Treasury secretary to President George W. Bush, underscoring the deepening divide between party establishment figures and the Tea Party-inspired Republicans in Congress and running for the White House… [emphasis added]

Inserted from <NY Times>

What we need most at this time is for President Obama to use the bully pulpit to back congressional Democrats’ positions and the power of his office to lobby for them in Congress.  However, it seems apparent that he is more focused on his job than he is on our jobs.  Therefore, economists in his administration are bailing out due to inattention to their expertise.

CompetitionBinyamin Applebaum and Helen Cooper summarize the state of thinking about economic policy inside the administration:

Obama’s senior adviser, David Plouffe, and his chief of staff, William M. Daley, want him to maintain a pragmatic strategy of appealing to independent voters by advocating ideas that can pass Congress, even if they may not have much economic impact. […] Gene Sperling, Mr. Obama’s chief economic adviser, say public anger over the debt ceiling debate has weakened Republicans and created an opening for bigger ideas […] Pfeiffer, the White House director of communications, said that there was no internal debate […] Obama and his aides are skeptical that voters will reward bold proposals if those ideas do not pass Congress. It is their judgment that moderate voters want tangible results rather than speeches. […] wide range of economists say the administration should call for a new round of stimulus spending […] A series of departures has left few economists among Mr. Obama’s senior advisers […] Mr. Plouffe and Mr. Daley share the view that a focus on deficit reduction is an economic and political imperative […] As part of this appeal to centrist voters, the president intends to continue his push for a so-called grand bargain on deficit reduction […] Administration officials say that their focus is on a number of smaller programs that could benefit the economy.

I see this debate as reflecting the pathologies of collective decision-making process. What you really have is one group of people, mostly economists, who think the economy needs a big new stimulus. Then you have a second group of people, mostly professional political operatives, who think that picking a public fight with congressional Republicans about a big new stimulus package would be a political loser… [emphasis added]

Inserted from <Think Progress>

Both groups are probably correct, to some degree, but I think Obama is backing the wrong horse.  The reason is this.  Unless the President makes a much stronger call for major jobs programs, he will be seen as part of the problem, not part of the solution, because only Wall Street is focused on the deficit.  Main Street is focused on jobs.  Moreover, to have an effective second term, Obama will need long coattails in 2012.  His present strategy of blaming congressional partisanship is a non-starter, because it obscures the truth that Democrats have bent over more than backwards to accommodate Republicans.  Every time they do, Republicans say no and make new demands, even more extreme than the last.  For Obama to honestly state this simple truth, over and over again, may cost him a few independent votes, but it would swell his support from the left and from the majority of independent voters, whose focus is on jobs, and it would help elect Democrats to Congress.

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Aug 142011
 

I have received some criticism for partisanship and have even been accused of fomenting hatred toward Republicans.  This does not surprise me, because I take pride in my partisanship, but unlike Republican politicians and pundits, I recognize that I am not entitled to my own facts.  My commentary is honest in that I document the factual data upon which I base it.  I do not shy away from criticism of my own side of the aisle, when the situation warrants it, and it often does.  Telling the truth is not hateful.  Intolerance of hatred, bigotry, lies, racism and greed is not hateful.  And assigning responsibility is not hateful, because unless we understand how and why something is broken, it is difficult, if not impossible to fix it.  The S&P debacle is a perfect example.

15CollapseThis should be highlighted again and again, because it is very simple, very logical and very, very damning:

A Standard & Poor’s director said for the first time Thursday that one reason the United States lost its triple-A credit rating was that several lawmakers expressed skepticism about the serious consequences of a credit default — a position put forth by some Republicans.

Without specifically mentioning Republicans, S&P senior director Joydeep Mukherji said the stability and effectiveness of American political institutions were undermined by the fact that “people in the political arena were even talking about a potential default,” Mukherji said.

“That a country even has such voices, albeit a minority, is something notable,” he added. “This kind of rhetoric is not common amongst AAA sovereigns.”

These statements have caused tea party Republicans to bleat, but, notably, it apparently hasn’t caused any of them to reflect on their positions. What the S&P director is saying here makes perfect sense. If the government of a nation publicly questions whether its debts should be paid, then it stands to reason that investors should be more cautious about presuming those debts should be paid. If politicians begin to mutter that perhaps those debts should be "ransomed" for political favors, then by definition those debts are less safe than they were before… [emphasis added]

Inserted from <Daily Kos>

Now, Republicans are fast to say that this did not mention Republicans, specifically.  However, the people saying that the debt should be held hostage, and/or that the debt should not be paid were all Republicans.

Frankly, I believe that all people are redeemable, no matter what they have done.  I bear no ill will against Republicans.  If they, like the prisoners with whom I volunteer, were willing to change and become pro-social members of this society, I would be the first to support them for so doing.  My only interest in opposing them is to stop the horrific harm they are causing this nation.

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Aug 142011
 

Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) and I have something in common.  We’ve both been sounding off about the significance of the S&P report, but there is one critical difference.  How is it that I correctly pegged Republican intransigence, while Grassley did not.  Does Grassley need stronger glasses?  Maybe, but the difference is a lot more basic than that.  At least I READ the damn report!

14GrassleyHatAfter one of the three credit ratings agencies, S&P, downgraded the United States’ creditworthiness from AAA to AA+ in large part because of extreme GOP intransigence on raising revenue, Republicans were quick to try to deflect blame onto the Democrats. GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney singled out the White House, saying “Standard & Poor’s rating downgrade is a deeply troubling indicator of our country’s decline under President Obama.”

Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) piled on the following day, calling S&P’s move a “wake-up call for Congress and the President to take meaningful action to reduce deficit spending and the resulting debt.”

ThinkProgress spoke with Grassley at the Iowa State Fair on Thursday to get his further thoughts on S&P’s criticism of Republican stubbornness. However, before we were able to ask the Iowa senator about S&P’s recommendations regarding our nation’s fiscal dilemma, Grassley made a startling revelation: he has not even read the report

…The report is five pages long. It was released a full week ago. And despite Grassley’s assertion that he was “out here [in Iowa] so I don’t have a copy of the report,” it’s available free on the Internet for anyone to read, Iowans included… [emphasis added]

Inserted from <Think Progress>

Here’s the video:

Color Chuck “snake in the” Grassley busted!

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Open Thread–8/15/2011

 Posted by at 11:38 pm  Open Thread, Personal
Aug 142011
 

Yesterday, I felt a little better and caught up on both sleep and replies to comments, but I still feel weak and tired.  Today I have a routine quarterly appointment with my podiatrist, so I’ll be scarce.

Jig Zone Puzzle:

Today it took me 3:19 (average 4:42).  To do it, click here.  How did you do?

Short Takes:

From AFP: US Representative Michele Bachmann, fresh from a victory in a key Republican test vote, said Sunday she would reinstate a ban on gay troops serving openly in the military.

I’m shocked!

From The Nation: A day after Saturday’s Iowa Straw Poll results came in — Michele Bachman edged out Ron Paul with Tim Pawlenty a distant third, just ahead of Rick Santorum and nobody Herman Cain — Pawlenty pulled the plug on his flagging presidential campaign. What does this tell us? That our system of nominating presidential candidates is badly broken, beholden to a small number of extremist party activists in a couple of arbitrarily chosen small, rural states and an unthinking media echo chamber.

Pawlenty is crazy enough in his own right, but in that respect, he doesn’t hold a candle to Bachmann, Paul, and Perry.

From News Hounds: Yesterday (8/13/11), Fox News’ regular Saturday morning “business block” was pre-empted for a special with the fear-mongering title, “On the Brink.” Not surprisingly, host Neil Cavuto followed in the footsteps of other Fox segments and used the riots to fear monger that liberal policies might soon bring the same violence here.

Yesterday, former member of British parliament John Browne spent his entire segment blaming socialism and liberalism as the culprit of the British riots – without challenge from Cavuto.

And the sheeple said Ba-a-a-a-a-a-a-a-a-a.

Cartoon:

15Cartoon

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Aug 142011
 

Yesterday there was little improvement in my Republicanitis.  I’m so full of Republicans that Imodium AD has not worked and trips to the throne have been too frequent to allow much sleep, let alone research.  I am not current on replies and will catch up when I can.

Jig Zone Puzzles:

Yesterday it took me 2:56 (average 4:24).  To do it click here.

Today it took me 3:07 (average 4:47).  To do it, click here.  How did you do?

I had a lot of motivation to hurry. 🙁

Short Takes:

From SoINeedAName:  Left in a comment

Timely and appropriate.

From ABC: A federal appeals court in Atlanta on Friday struck down a key provision of the Obama administration’s health care reform law, ruling that Congress exceeded its authority in mandating that most Americans buy health insurance by 2014 or face a penalty.

At the Federal Appeals Court level that’s one for and one against.  Bring on Medicare for all!

From Common Dreams: Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas will submit an application for full U.N. membership at the General Assembly next month, his foreign minister said on Saturday, without specifying exactly when the request would be made.

I support recognition, and oppose the US opposition to it.

From Me: The Looney Toons Follies in Iowa

Iowa Straw Poll

 

Michele Bachmann

4,823

Ron Paul

4,671

Tim Pawlenty

2,293

Rick Santorum

1,657

Herman Cain

1,456

Rick Perry

718

Mitt Romney

567

Newt Gingrich

385

Jon Huntsman

69

Thaddeus McCotter

35

Guess who provided the most free busses and paid for the most $30 tickets?

Cartoon:

13Cartoon

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Republicans Race to the Bottom

 Posted by at 12:20 am  Politics
Aug 122011
 

The Republican debate in Ames had all the earmarks of a race to the bottom.  Fortunately, new ideas is not the subject here.  If that were so this would be the end of the article.  The eight candidates present goose-stepped in lock step, and none distinguished themselves in any real way.  The most interesting news about the campaigns actually occurred away from the debate, so lets look at both.

12AmesDebateMinnesota rivals Tim Pawlenty and Michele Bachmann sparred bitterly Thursday night during an eight-candidate Republican debate, seeking to break out of the GOP presidential pack ahead of an Iowa test vote with huge consequences. Each seeks to become the main challenger to Republican front-runner Mitt Romney.

Their efforts were newly complicated by Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who stole some of the spotlight from afar by making it known hours before the debate that he was running for the GOP nomination. That was the latest twist in the most consequential week yet in the 2012 Republican presidential nomination fight.

Though everyone on the stage assailed President Barack Obama, it was clear from the quarreling between Pawlenty and Bachmann during the feisty two-hour debate who had the most on the line ahead of Saturday’s straw poll that could well winnow the field.

On stage just a few minutes, Pawlenty, who is struggling to gain traction, went after Bachmann, accusing the congresswoman of achieving nothing significant in Congress, lacking executive experience and having a history of fabrications.

"She’s got a record of misstating and making false statements," Pawlenty said…

Inserted from <Boston Globe>

I have to admit that I agree with that last statement by Tim Pawlenty.

Here is post-debate analysis from Lawrence O’Donnell, Chuck Todd, Ed Schultz, Jonathan Alter and Eugene Robinson.

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

All promised to veto $10 in spending cuts for every $1 in tax increases on millionaires, billionaires and corporate criminals, even though an overwhelming majority of Americans support raising their taxes.

Rachel Maddow gave us an excellent rundown on the Republican race to the bottom, including "undeclared" candidates.

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

You have to give Perry credit for cagey timing. Sarah Palin, aka Blood-libel Barbie, just wants to cash-in on the attention. Romney had a terrible accident. He told the truth. It could well be his "Howard Dean scream" moment.

Overall there were no winners in this field of losers. If any one of them becomes President, the biggest loser of all is America.

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Aug 122011
 

Republicans have done a masterful job of limiting the debate in Washington, DC to reducing the deficit, although the issue that matters most to the American People is JOBS.  Republicans do not want to focus on jobs, because their plan is more tax cuts for millionaires, billionaires and corporate criminals, justified by the same old trickle down fallacy that has cost so many jobs by stripping wealth from the poor and middle classes.  Democrats in both the House and the Senate are taking action.  I’m proud to say that, in the Senate, Oregon’s own Jeff Merkley is taking the lead, something first term Senators virtually never do.

MerkleyOne day after Republicans in the House and Senate announced their picks for the Joint Select Committee (JSC), Oregon’s Senator Jeff Merkley and 22 of his Democratic colleagues sent a simple message to Republican lawmakers: Put jobs first.  In a letter to Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, the senators argued that spurring job growth in the short term is a vital element of reducing the deficits and should therefore be central to the new committee.

“For families across the country, the biggest economic problem is high unemployment,” wrote the senators.  “As you know, the lack of jobs and anemic growth rate of the economy are not only enormous problems in their own right, causing great pain for millions of Americans, they are a major component of our deficit.  Indeed, the loss of revenue resulting from the recession accounts for nearly $4 trillion of the projected deficits over the next 10 years.”

“It is therefore appropriate and important that the JSC explicitly embrace job creation as a part of its mission,” they continued.  “Targeted investments in economic growth and job creation can complement and even enhance long-term deficit reduction efforts and should be a priority that the JSC embraces.

“Let us be very clear: our fiscal challenge is directly linked to the jobs crisis and we cannot solve the former without tackling the latter.”

Over the past decade, revenues have declined by 18% while domestic discretionary spending remained static on a per-capita basis. Much of this revenue was lost due to the financial crisis and the recession and high unemployment that followed…

Inserted from <Senator Jeff Merkley>

Click through for the full text of the letter.

Republicans don’t want you to know that per capita discretionary spending, in real terms was higher during the booming economy Clinton left in 2000.  Now there are more people in need, and less money coming in, because Bush and the Republicans trashed the economy.  In short, discretionary spending compared to need is already much lower.  Only more people working and paying taxes can significantly decrease the deficit.

On House Side, the Democrats in the Congressional Progressive Caucus are also focusing on jobs. Rachel Maddow reviewed this news with Rep. Jan Schakowsky (D-IL).

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Obama needs to get behind these jobs initiatives and tell the American people about them.  When Republicans block them, and the will, he needs to tell the American people that too.

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