Julie just left. and I am a pleased and pristine puddy tat. She also gets a lot more done than Lu used to, so I’m thrilled with her. I have a grocery delivery coping this afternoon, so I’ll get to put everything away. It’s another hot muggy day, not at all normal for April in Oregon, where April showers bring May rain.
Cartoon:
Today’s took me 3:06 (average 4:58), To do it, click here. How did you do?
Short Takes:
From Real Clear Politics:
|
State |
Date ▾ |
Delegates |
Clinton |
Sanders |
Delegate Allocation |
Open/ Closed |
|
(2,382 Needed to Win) |
– |
4763 |
1930 |
1189 |
– |
– |
|
Delegates Won |
– |
4051 |
1428 |
1151 |
|
|
|
Superdelegates |
– |
(712) |
502 |
38 |
|
|
|
District of Columbia |
June 14 |
20 (25) |
|
|
Primary |
Closed |
|
California |
June 7 |
475 (71) |
|
|
Primary |
Semi-closed |
|
Montana |
June 7 |
21 (6) |
|
|
Primary |
Open |
|
New Jersey |
June 7 |
126 (16) |
|
|
Primary |
Closed |
|
North Dakota |
June 7 |
18 (5) |
|
|
Primary |
Open |
|
New Mexico |
June 7 |
34 (9) |
|
|
Primary |
Closed |
|
South Dakota |
June 7 |
20 (5) |
|
|
Primary |
Semi-open |
|
Puerto Rico |
June 5 |
60 (7) |
|
|
Primary |
Open |
|
Virgin Islands |
June 4 |
7 (5) |
|
|
Caucus |
Closed |
|
Oregon |
May 17 |
61 (13) |
|
|
Primary |
Closed |
|
Kentucky |
May 17 |
55 (5) |
|
|
Primary |
Closed |
|
West Virginia |
May 10 |
29 (8) |
|
|
Primary |
Semi-closed |
|
Guam |
May 7 |
7 (5) |
|
|
Caucus |
Closed |
|
Indiana |
May 3 |
83 (9) |
|
|
Primary |
Open |
|
Rhode Island |
April 26 |
24 (9) |
|
|
Primary |
Semi-closed |
|
Pennsylvania |
April 26 |
189 (21) |
|
|
Primary |
Closed |
|
Delaware |
April 26 |
21 (10) |
|
|
Primary |
Closed |
|
Connecticut |
April 26 |
55 (15) |
|
|
Primary |
Closed |
|
Maryland |
April 26 |
95 (23) |
|
|
Primary |
Closed |
|
New York |
April 19 |
247 (44) |
139 |
106 |
Primary |
Closed |
|
Wyoming |
April 9 |
14 (4) |
7 |
7 |
Caucus |
Closed |
|
Wisconsin |
April 5 |
86 (10) |
38 |
48 |
Primary |
Open |
|
Washington |
March 26 |
101 (17) |
9 |
25 |
Caucus |
Open |
|
Hawaii |
March 26 |
25 (9) |
8 |
17 |
Caucus |
Semi-closed |
|
Alaska |
March 26 |
16 (4) |
3 |
13 |
Caucus |
Closed |
|
Utah |
March 22 |
33 (4) |
6 |
27 |
Caucus |
Semi-open |
|
Idaho |
March 22 |
23 (4) |
5 |
18 |
Caucus |
Open |
|
Arizona |
March 22 |
75 (10) |
42 |
33 |
Primary |
Closed |
|
Ohio |
March 15 |
143 (16) |
81 |
62 |
Primary |
Semi-open |
|
North Carolina |
March 15 |
107 (14) |
59 |
45 |
Primary |
Semi-closed |
|
Missouri |
March 15 |
71 (13) |
36 |
35 |
Primary |
Open |
|
Illinois |
March 15 |
156 (26) |
79 |
77 |
Primary |
Open |
|
Florida |
March 15 |
214 (32) |
141 |
73 |
Primary |
Closed |
|
Northern Marianas |
March 12 |
6 (5) |
4 |
2 |
N/A |
N/A |
|
Michigan |
March 8 |
130 (17) |
63 |
67 |
Primary |
Open |
|
Mississippi |
March 8 |
36 (5) |
32 |
4 |
Primary |
Open |
|
Maine |
March 6 |
25 (5) |
9 |
16 |
Caucus |
Closed |
|
Kansas |
March 5 |
33 (4) |
10 |
23 |
Caucus |
Closed |
|
Nebraska |
March 5 |
25 (5) |
10 |
15 |
Caucus |
Closed |
|
Louisiana |
March 5 |
51 (8) |
37 |
14 |
Primary |
Closed |
|
Virginia |
March 1 |
95 (15) |
62 |
33 |
Primary |
Open |
|
Vermont |
March 1 |
16 (10) |
0 |
16 |
Primary |
Open |
|
Texas |
March 1 |
222 (30) |
147 |
75 |
Primary |
Open |
|
Tennessee |
March 1 |
67 (9) |
44 |
23 |
Primary |
Open |
|
Oklahoma |
March 1 |
38 (4) |
17 |
21 |
Primary |
Semi-closed |
|
Minnesota |
March 1 |
77 (16) |
31 |
46 |
Caucus |
Open |
|
Massachusetts |
March 1 |
91 (25) |
46 |
45 |
Primary |
Semi-closed |
|
Georgia |
March 1 |
102 (14) |
73 |
29 |
Primary |
Open |
|
Democrats Abroad |
March 1-8 |
13 (4) |
4 |
9 |
Primary |
Closed |
|
Colorado |
March 1 |
66 (13) |
25 |
41 |
Caucus |
Closed |
|
Arkansas |
March 1 |
32 (5) |
22 |
10 |
Primary |
Open |
|
American Samoa |
March 1 |
6 (4) |
4 |
2 |
Caucus |
Closed |
|
Alabama |
March 1 |
53 (7) |
44 |
9 |
Primary |
Open |
|
South Carolina |
February 27 |
53 (6) |
39 |
14 |
Primary |
Open |
|
Nevada |
February 20 |
35 (8) |
20 |
15 |
Caucus |
Closed |
|
New Hampshire |
February 9 |
24 (8) |
9 |
15 |
Primary |
Semi-closed |
|
Iowa |
February 1 |
44 (8) |
23 |
21 |
Caucus |
Semi-open |
In New York, Hollary posted an impressive 15 point spread. To win, Bernie needs 1193 more delegates. Hillary needs 452. To have the majority of pledged delegates, Bernie needs 875 more. Hillary needs 598 more.
From Daily Kos: Fox and other right-wing outlets have always used certain “go-to" logical fallacies in their ideological arguments: ad hominem, straw man, and non sequitur. (Actually, if you listen to any one of Trump’s speeches, you can usually hear examples of all three in the same speech.) Although the right wing still uses these the most, lately I have noticed the increased use of several uncommon fallacies that are becoming more and more common in conservative circles. Although there are literally hundreds of logical fallacies, I’m just going to focus on these few. Let’s begin …
1. ONUS IMPROBATIONIS (“Burden of disproof”)
This is a type of Ad ignorantiam, which is to claim something is true because it cannot be proven false. What this subcategory refers to is putting the burden on you to disprove their belief. The problem is that this is impossible. Decades ago, my statistics teacher gave me an example that I still remember: the Loch Ness Monster. Even if you somehow managed to drain the entire loch, and had teams of people scouring the ground, would that satisfy the believers? Of course not. They’d argue that the mythical beast just went into hiding, or was transported, or some other such nonsense.
I always think about this fallacy when I hear the Birthers. They are a PERFECT example. No amount of evidence will ever satisfy them: experts, analysis of the document, records, birth announcements in newspapers—nothing. I recalled seeing the segment below years ago and specifically searched for this because I really want you to hear what birther Alan Keyes says immediately after the host read through ALL of the evidence of Obama’s birth in Hawaii. It starts at the 1:10 mark. He says two words that blew my mind—and prove my point.
I promise it’s worth it:
TEAbuggery most foul!! This is the first of several logical fallacies (also called criminal thinking errors in my volunteer work in prison, or InsaniTEA in politics). Click through for the rest.
From The New Yorker: America’s racists, who have long viewed New York with a mixture of hostility, contempt, and fear, are suddenly feeling much more positive about the Empire State a cross-section of racists confirmed on Tuesday night.
In interviews conducted shortly after 9 P.M., racists from coast to coast echoed the opinion of Fresno, California, bigot Harland Dorrinson, who remarked, “You know, maybe New York isn’t such a bad place after all.”
“I always thought that New York seemed like a hellhole to be avoided at all costs,” Dorrinson said. “Now I’m thinking I might want to take the family there on vacation. Maybe even take in a few Broadway shows.”
Andy, most folks don’t realize that less then 10% of New York State residents are registered Republicans. This racist idiot fringe has been getting extra attention, because of the primary,
Cartoon:
The birthday of the first modern Republican.
13 Responses to “Open Thread–4/20/2016”
Sorry, the comment form is closed at this time.
I didn't know that 4/20 was Hitler's birthday.
I've always associated 4/20 with a much more enjoyable celebration.
So Happy 4/20!
Yeah, me too. I no longer celebrate it in the usual way, but still am amused each time my eyes fall upon a clock reading 4:20 and think, if only I could. :^)
If it weren.t for Rerpublican fascicts, perjaps y'all wouldn't need a 4-20 break!
4:25 Better late than never?
So happy you and Julie found each other! Glad you have groceries, since the puzzle was just paper. I think we have all those showers this week, and they are somewhat unseasonable for here . Hmmm.
RCP – Yup.
DKos – This article is great, and it refers you to technical sources (you didn't know logic was technical?) which are even more encompassing. So you can at least have the fun of knowing exactly what logical fallacies teabaggers are going to believe in no matter what you say or do. Yeah, that's the down side.
New Yorker – How heavily gerrymandered IS New York state, anyway? Scary.
Cartoon – Apparently Republicans think what's good for the King is good for the Führer. It isn't.
P.S. Columbine also
DK: Good article. I liked #5. Good smack down, Rachel.
NYer: UGH! I need a Tums, I feel sick to my stomach. LOL, Andy.
Cartoon: The demise of the Nazi party. "Piece by piece, it all came together over the last ten days of his life, beginning on Friday, April 20, 1945. That day Hitler met for the last time with his top Nazis. The occasion was Hitler's 56th birthday, a dreary celebration inside the Führerbunker in Berlin." *history place
Good news about Julie, that's wonderful. Enjoy your evening, take care, and Thanks, Tom.
**We got more rain this morning, and the lawn is a muddy puddle. My porch flooded this morning, (and I'm on high ground), and another storm tonight, and tomorrow. If it's not wildfires, it's rain. I don't know which one is worse.
Looks like we switched weather!!
Too bad that 4/20 is Set Furor's birth day. There is so much MORE to 4-20 to be enjoyed!!! It's later than 4-20 here, but that don't mean it ain't about 4:20 SOMEWHERE!!!
HAPPY 4-20!!!!!!
Daily Kos: Their logical fallacies are their way of refusing to honor truth.
The New Yorker: Andy is so right so often!
Puzzle — 3:06 Sorry Puddy Tat, but you have to share! It's not edible anyway!
RCP — Go Bernie!!!
Daily Kos — Holy shit! The right wing nut jobs are truly demented! They would not know the truth even if it bit them on the butt!
The New Yorker — Funny Andy!
Cartoon — No doubt!
How wonderful Julie works out so well for you, TomCat. She not only gets lots more done, but she's probably also a lot more reliable and punctual, just what you need in your life right now. You also must be glad to have your new A/C in just before the weather turned so uncharacteristically warm and humid. It really pays off to be prepared for all kinds of weather these days, doesn't it.
RCP: Of course we hoped it would turn out differently, but is wasn't really surprising that Hillary won big on home turf. That state just isn't as progressive as I thought it would be.
DK: What a great article; after reading you know exactly how careful you need to be listening to any right-winger and Faux News in particular. It's amazing how many ways there are to distort the facts and put forward their own (made up) version of reality, i.e. fallacies. With the two suggested in comments the article came to a total of eight major types of logical fallacy with excellent examples ; I doubt that the author could get more than one or two correct logical arguments with examples from the the right. If they would use more they would lose their audience, because the common denominator of these logical fallacies is "laziness" as they are much easier to digest and accept than a logically sound argument which takes some effort to follow and understand.
TNY: Andy again lets satire tell the story of undue media attention for Republican candidates campaigning in New York.
Cartoon: Given the candidates left in the Clown Car, it's understandable that Republicans have become nostalgic and want to revive old times by honoring their true leader.
Yup, it's a "420 time" at anytime. lol.
I don't live too far from San Rafael, California.
Thanks all! Hugs!!