{"id":8805,"date":"2012-09-09T09:07:56","date_gmt":"2012-09-09T16:07:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/?p=8805"},"modified":"2012-09-09T09:07:56","modified_gmt":"2012-09-09T16:07:56","slug":"election-projection992012","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2012\/09\/09\/election-projection992012\/","title":{"rendered":"Election Projection–9\/9\/2012"},"content":{"rendered":"

With the Presidential Election less than two months away, we have reached the time that projections of results can be closer to reality that they could have been earlier on.  To that end I have prepared a 2012 election map with my own projections.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"9election9-9\"<\/font><\/p>\n

Map credit: 270 to win<\/a><\/font><\/p>\n

I moved MI, MN and WI onto the blue column, because Obama leads all three by over five points in the polls, and because Willard and the Billionaire Bankster PACS have pulled their money from those states.<\/font><\/p>\n

Given this configuration, Obama leads the electoral vote count 247 to 191 and needs only 23 more to win. <\/font><\/p>\n

The election will be decided in the eight states that are too close to call.  Here are the current polling results for them.<\/font><\/p>\n

\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

Toss-up States<\/strong><\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

 <\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

 <\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

 <\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

State<\/strong><\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

EV<\/strong><\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Obama<\/strong><\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Romney<\/strong><\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

CO<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

47.8<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

45.5<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

FL<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

29<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

47.3<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

46.7<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

IA<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

45<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

44.8<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

NV<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

49<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

45.7<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

NH<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

48.3<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

44.8<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

NC<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

45.3<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

47.3<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

OH<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

18<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

46.2<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

45.5<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

VA<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

13<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

47.3<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

46.7<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n

One state, Florida, could put Obama over the top, and he has a small lead there and in all but one of the other seven.<\/font><\/p>\n

While I consider Obama\u2019s reelection highly likely, that should not be cause for complacency.  There is no way for this projection to account for the votes that will not be cast, because of Republican measures to deprive legitimate Democratic voters of their right to vote.<\/font><\/p>\n

\n

Every Vote Counts<\/strong><\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

Especially YOURS!<\/strong><\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

With the Presidential Election less than two months away, we have reached the time that projections of results can be closer to reality that they could have been earlier on.  To that end I have prepared a 2012 election map with my own projections. Map credit: 270 to win I moved MI, MN and WI […]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[141,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8805","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-plus","category-politics","category-141-id","category-5-id","post-seq-1","post-parity-odd","meta-position-corners","fix"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8805","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8805"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8805\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8805"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8805"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8805"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}