{"id":566,"date":"2010-01-31T04:06:00","date_gmt":"2010-01-31T12:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/?p=566"},"modified":"2010-01-31T04:06:00","modified_gmt":"2010-01-31T12:06:00","slug":"paul-volker-how-to-reform-our-financial-system","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2010\/01\/31\/paul-volker-how-to-reform-our-financial-system\/","title":{"rendered":"Paul Volker: How to Reform Our Financial System"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I think that Volker has some excellent ideas.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\"><a href=\"http:\/\/s217.photobucket.com\/albums\/cc83\/TomCat1948or2\/Blog%202010\/J-M\/PaulVolkerHowtoReformOurFinancialSystem_393A\/FatCat.jpg\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-right-width: 0px; margin: 0px 10px 0px 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px\" title=\"FatCat\" border=\"0\" alt=\"FatCat\" align=\"left\" src=\"http:\/\/s217.photobucket.com\/albums\/cc83\/TomCat1948or2\/Blog%202010\/J-M\/PaulVolkerHowtoReformOurFinancialSystem_393A\/FatCat_thumb.jpg\" width=\"209\" height=\"244\" \/><\/a> PRESIDENT OBAMA 10 days ago set out one important element in the needed structural reform of the financial system. No one can reasonably contest the need for such reform, in the United States and in other countries as well. We have after all a system that broke down in the most serious crisis in 75 years. The cost has been enormous in terms of unemployment and lost production. The repercussions have been international.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">Aggressive action by governments and central banks \u2014 really unprecedented in both magnitude and scope \u2014 has been necessary to revive and maintain market functions. Some of that support has continued to this day. Here in the United States as elsewhere, some of the largest and proudest financial institutions \u2014 including both investment and commercial banks \u2014 have been rescued or merged with the help of massive official funds. Those actions were taken out of well-justified concern that their outright failure would irreparably impair market functioning and further damage the real economy already in recession. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">Now the economy is recovering, if at a still modest pace. Funds are flowing more readily in financial markets, but still far from normally. Discussion is underway here and abroad about specific reforms, many of which have been set out by the United States administration: appropriate capital and liquidity requirements for banks; better official supervision on the one hand and on the other improved risk management and board oversight for private institutions; a review of accounting approaches toward financial institutions; and others. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">As President Obama has emphasized, some central structural issues have not yet been satisfactorily addressed. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">A large concern is the residue of moral hazard from the extensive and successful efforts of central banks and governments to rescue large failing and potentially failing financial institutions. The long-established \u201csafety net\u201d undergirding the stability of commercial banks \u2014 deposit insurance and lender of last resort facilities \u2014 has been both reinforced and extended in a series of ad hoc decisions to support investment banks, mortgage providers and the world\u2019s largest insurance company. In the process, managements, creditors and to some extent stockholders of these non-banks have been protected. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">The phrase \u201ctoo big to fail\u201d has entered into our everyday vocabulary. It carries the implication that really large, complex and highly interconnected financial institutions can count on public support at critical times. The sense of public outrage over seemingly unfair treatment is palpable. Beyond the emotion, the result is to provide those institutions with a competitive advantage in their financing, in their size and in their ability to take and absorb risks.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">As things stand, the consequence will be to enhance incentives to risk-taking and leverage, with the implication of an even more fragile financial system. We need to find more effective fail-safe arrangements. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">In approaching that challenge, we need to recognize that the basic operations of commercial banks are integral to a well-functioning private financial system. It is those institutions, after all, that manage and protect the basic payments systems upon which we all depend. More broadly, they provide the essential intermediating function of matching the need for safe and readily available depositories for liquid funds with the need for reliable sources of credit for businesses, individuals and governments.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">Combining those essential functions unavoidably entails risk, sometimes substantial risk. That is why Adam Smith more than 200 years ago advocated keeping banks small. Then an individual failure would not be so destructive for the economy. That approach does not really seem feasible in today\u2019s world, not given the size of businesses, the substantial investment required in technology and the national and international reach required.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">Instead, governments have long provided commercial banks with the public \u201csafety net.\u201d The implied moral hazard has been balanced by close regulation and supervision. Improved capital requirements and leverage restrictions are now also under consideration in international forums as a key element of reform. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">The further proposal set out by the president recently to limit the proprietary activities of banks approaches the problem from a complementary direction. The point of departure is that adding further layers of risk to the inherent risks of essential commercial bank functions doesn\u2019t make sense, not when those risks arise from more speculative activities far better suited for other areas of the financial markets. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">The specific points at issue are ownership or sponsorship of hedge funds and private equity funds, and proprietary trading \u2014 that is, placing bank capital at risk in the search of speculative profit rather than in response to customer needs. Those activities are actively engaged in by only a handful of American mega-commercial banks, perhaps four or five. Only 25 or 30 may be significant internationally.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">Apart from the risks inherent in these activities, they also present virtually insolvable conflicts of interest with customer relationships, conflicts that simply cannot be escaped by an elaboration of so-called Chinese walls between different divisions of an institution. The further point is that the three activities at issue \u2014 which in themselves are legitimate and useful parts of our capital markets \u2014 are in no way dependent on commercial banks\u2019 ownership. These days there are literally thousands of independent hedge funds and equity funds of widely varying size perfectly capable of maintaining innovative competitive markets. Individually, such independent capital market institutions, typically financed privately, are heavily dependent like other businesses upon commercial bank services, including in their case prime brokerage. Commercial bank ownership only tilts a \u201clevel playing field\u201d without clear value added.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">Very few of those capital market institutions, both because of their typically more limited size and more stable sources of finance, could present a credible claim to be \u201ctoo big\u201d or \u201ctoo interconnected\u201d to fail. In fact, sizable numbers of such institutions fail or voluntarily cease business in troubled times with no adverse consequences for the viability of markets. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">What we do need is protection against the outliers. There are a limited number of investment banks (or perhaps insurance companies or other firms) the failure of which would be so disturbing as to raise concern about a broader market disruption. In such cases, authority by a relevant supervisory agency to limit their capital and leverage would be important, as the president has proposed.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">To meet the possibility that failure of such institutions may nonetheless threaten the system, the reform proposals of the Obama administration and other governments point to the need for a new \u201cresolution authority.\u201d Specifically, the appropriately designated agency should be authorized to intervene in the event that a systemically critical capital market institution is on the brink of failure. The agency would assume control for the sole purpose of arranging an orderly liquidation or merger. Limited funds would be made available to maintain continuity of operations while preparing for the demise of the organization. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">To help facilitate that process, the concept of a \u201cliving will\u201d has been set forth by a number of governments. Stockholders and management would not be protected. Creditors would be at risk, and would suffer to the extent that the ultimate liquidation value of the firm would fall short of its debts.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">To put it simply, in no sense would these capital market institutions be deemed \u201ctoo big to fail.\u201d What they would be free to do is to innovate, to trade, to speculate, to manage private pools of capital \u2014 and as ordinary businesses in a capitalist economy, to fail. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">I do not deal here with other key issues of structural reform. Surely, effective arrangements for clearing and settlement and other restrictions in the now enormous market for derivatives should be agreed to as part of the present reform program. So should the need for a designated agency \u2014 preferably the Federal Reserve \u2014 charged with reviewing and appraising market developments, identifying sources of weakness and recommending action to deal with the emerging problems. Those and other matters are part of the administration\u2019s program and now under international consideration. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">In this country, I believe regulation of large insurance companies operating over many states needs to be reviewed. We also face a large challenge in rebuilding an efficient, competitive private mortgage market, an area in which commercial bank participation is needed. Those are matters for another day.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">What is essential now is that we work with other nations hosting large financial markets to reach a broad consensus on an outline for the needed structural reforms, certainly including those that the president has recently set out. My clear sense is that relevant international and foreign authorities are prepared to engage in that effort. In the process, significant points of operational detail will need to be resolved, including clarifying the range of trading activity appropriate for commercial banks in support of customer relationships. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">I am well aware that there are interested parties that long to return to \u201cbusiness as usual,\u201d even while retaining the comfort of remaining within the confines of the official safety net. They will argue that they themselves and intelligent regulators and supervisors, armed with recent experience, can maintain the needed surveillance, foresee the dangers and manage the risks.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#000000\">In contrast, I tell you that is no substitute for structural change, the point the president himself has set out so strongly\u2026<\/font><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Inserted from &lt;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2010\/01\/31\/opinion\/31volcker.html\" target=\"_blank\">NY Times<\/a>&gt;<\/p>\n<p>Cousin FatCat, the Bankster, does not agree with Volker.&#160; He agrees with Tim Geithner.&#160; He wants business as usual, so he can get new diamonds with which to fill his litter box.&#160; Why do you think he does not like Volker?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I think that Volker has some excellent ideas. PRESIDENT OBAMA 10 days ago set out one important element in the needed structural reform of the financial system. No one can reasonably contest the need for such reform, in the United States and in other countries as well. We have after all a system that broke <a href='https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2010\/01\/31\/paul-volker-how-to-reform-our-financial-system\/' class='excerpt-more'>[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","category-5-id","post-seq-1","post-parity-odd","meta-position-corners","fix"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/566","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=566"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/566\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=566"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=566"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=566"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}