{"id":5544,"date":"2011-08-06T00:24:20","date_gmt":"2011-08-06T07:24:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/?p=5544"},"modified":"2011-08-06T00:24:20","modified_gmt":"2011-08-06T07:24:20","slug":"fitzwalkerstan-latest-polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2011\/08\/06\/fitzwalkerstan-latest-polls\/","title":{"rendered":"Fitzwalkerstan: Latest polls"},"content":{"rendered":"

Things are looking up for the recall elections in the Republican Corporate Plutocracy of Fitzwalkerstan, formerly known as Wisconsin.  If Democrats can win three of the six recall elections, despite the flood of lies and crimes funded by the Koch Brothers and other corporate criminals, they will take back the state senate, moving Fitzwalkerstan one step closer to becoming Wisconsin again.<\/font><\/p>\n

\n

\"GOPWiscFlag\"<\/font><\/p>\n

Looking at all Wisconsin recall polling that has been released to the public since late June, here is the overall picture:<\/font><\/p>\n

\"clip_image001[4]\"<\/p>\n

These averages include Daily Kos\/PPP polls (see here<\/a><\/font> and here<\/a><\/font>) of the six recalls on Aug. 9, two internal polls from the Democratic Party of Wisconsin released to the public (see here<\/a><\/font> and here<\/a><\/font>), and two polls from a new polling firm published in the diaries by jmartin4s<\/a><\/font>. <\/font><\/p>\n

While I am aware that some other researchers disagree, I have never had any problem with including party or campaign funded polls in my averages. I am, however, a bit wary of the polls published in the diaries, given their extremely low-cost, non-standard methodology<\/a><\/font>. Removing those polls, here is the picture:<\/font><\/p>\n

\"clip_image002[4]\"<\/p>\n

Either way, Democrats lead in three of the six campaigns, and are close in the other three. Since they need three wins in order to take control of the Wisconsin state senate, this gives them a distinct advantage. Further, as I explained two weeks ago<\/a><\/font>: <\/font><\/p>\n

Democrats are way ahead in one of the six campaigns. This means they only need to win two of the five campaigns that are actually competitive, while Republicans have to win four of those five. That is a significant Democratic edge.<\/font><\/p>\n

So this is all very good news… <\/font><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Inserted from <Daily Kos<\/a>><\/p>\n

Of course, this will not return the state to sanity in itself, because Walker and his Koch suckers will still hold the Senate, but if we win, we will at least have a way to check their Machiavellian plots.  If you live there\u2026<\/font><\/p>\n

Vote!<\/font><\/h1>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Things are looking up for the recall elections in the Republican Corporate Plutocracy of Fitzwalkerstan, formerly known as Wisconsin.  If Democrats can win three of the six recall elections, despite the flood of lies and crimes funded by the Koch Brothers and other corporate criminals, they will take back the state senate, moving Fitzwalkerstan one […]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5544","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","category-5-id","post-seq-1","post-parity-odd","meta-position-corners","fix"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5544","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5544"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5544\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5544"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5544"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5544"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}