{"id":49838,"date":"2022-11-12T19:59:54","date_gmt":"2022-11-13T03:59:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/?p=49838"},"modified":"2022-11-12T19:59:54","modified_gmt":"2022-11-13T03:59:54","slug":"as-seen-from-afar-11-13-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2022\/11\/12\/as-seen-from-afar-11-13-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"As Seen from Afar 11\/13\/2022"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-21661 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.7thstep.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/hedgehog-looks-binoculars.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"160\" height=\"160\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/hedgehog-looks-binoculars.png 160w, https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/hedgehog-looks-binoculars-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/hedgehog-looks-binoculars-96x96.png 96w, https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/hedgehog-looks-binoculars-24x24.png 24w, https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/hedgehog-looks-binoculars-36x36.png 36w, https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/hedgehog-looks-binoculars-48x48.png 48w, https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/hedgehog-looks-binoculars-64x64.png 64w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 160px) 100vw, 160px\" \/><\/h2>\n<h1 class=\"_1EAJU hMmqO WL4Yr n-Wqw _18EFj _2ZOIT _3HiTE x9R1x pDrMR hmFfs _390V1\" data-component=\"Heading\">The US midterms showed more than a weakened Trump and a relieved Biden. Are the prophets of doom right about America?<\/h1>\n<p>I&#8217;ve been posting disappointed, cynical and perhaps even angry comments on Politics Plus since the polling booths closed. That may seem a little unfair to many Democrats who are happy the Red Wave didn&#8217;t come to fruition and election day was spared expected violence from the right. However, as seen from afar through a democratic lens, both events are not enough. We had hoped for more. I leave it to Stan Grant, an Australian analyst, to explain what the American midterms mean to a long-term ally. His article is taken in full from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2022-11-13\/midterm-election-american-politics-biden-trump-what-result-means\/101642520\">the ABC News site<\/a>.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<div class=\"_3btuy\"><span class=\"_1EAJU _1gyp6 _2L258 _1BqKa _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Byline\"><span class=\"_1EAJU _2L258 _14LIk _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Text\">By\u00a0<a class=\"u0kBv _3CtDL _1_pW8 _3Fvo9 _1HW1q\" href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/stan-grant\/8195640\" data-component=\"Link\">Stan Grant<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"\" data-component=\"Dateline\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"_2oZZx\" data-component=\"FeatureMedia\">\n<figure class=\"_247xw _3qLh5 _sBMB\" role=\"group\" data-print=\"inline-media\" aria-labelledby=\"101642942\" data-component=\"Figure\" data-uri=\"coremedia:\/\/imageproxy\/101642942\">\n<div class=\"_3poXF\">\n<div class=\"_1Axyg\" data-component=\"AspectRatioContainer\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"jMqWO _1PHKk\" src=\"https:\/\/live-production.wcms.abc-cdn.net.au\/ed17a54e026f8735faf3e3822d8412e1?impolicy=wcms_crop_resize&amp;cropH=450&amp;cropW=800&amp;xPos=0&amp;yPos=30&amp;width=862&amp;height=485\" sizes=\"100vw\" alt=\"A composite image of  Joe Biden and Donald Trump\" data-component=\"Image\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption id=\"101642942\" class=\"_1EAJU _2_dbS _2L258 _14LIk _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Figure__figcaption\">America has been spared\u00a0Donald Trump&#8217;s political resurgence but for how long?<cite class=\"_1EAJU _1ftZy _2L258 _14LIk _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Figure__cite\"><cite class=\"_1EAJU _1ftZy _2L258 _14LIk _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Figure__cite\">(<span class=\"_1EAJU _2D0A4 _2L258 _1BqKa _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Byline\"><span class=\"_1EAJU _2L258 _14LIk _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Text\">AP<\/span><\/span>)<\/p>\n<p><\/cite><\/cite><\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">You can hear the sighs of relief that the anticipated red wave in the American midterm elections did not happen.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">The United States has been spared a resurgent Trumpism \u2026 at least for now. The question is: why did anyone think there would be a resounding Republican triumph?<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Remember the presidential election? The same pundits were predicting a blue wave. An America exhausted by the turmoil of the Trump years, they said, would swing behind the Democrats and\u00a0Joe Biden.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Well, just like now, there was no wave. Yes, Biden won the presidency. But nearly 70 million people voted for Donald Trump, the highest number of votes ever for a sitting president.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">America is divided. That&#8217;s the point. These midterms have just underlined it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">The US is wracked with political tribalism, cutting across fault lines of class, race and geography. So weird is American politics that in a poll before the midterms most Americans believed the Democratic Party, not the Trump Republicans, is the more extreme.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">America is so unruly. So apparently ungovernable that some have even wondered if the Union itself will hold.\u00a0At their most breathless, prophets of doom have warned of civil war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Of course, America has been here before. It has actually had a civil war. In the 1960s the United States was torn apart by political assassinations, riots, racism and economic strife. In the 1970s it weathered Watergate and the corruption of the Nixon presidency.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">America can always rebound.\u00a0It is still a beacon for so many. At its best it remains a dazzling place. But equally the past 50\u00a0years may just prove that America&#8217;s unravelling is long and deep.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"_247xw _3qLh5 _sBMB _3pBTa\" role=\"group\" data-print=\"inline-media\" aria-labelledby=\"101642822\" data-component=\"Figure\" data-uri=\"coremedia:\/\/imageproxy\/101642822\">\n<div class=\"_3poXF\">\n<div class=\"_1Axyg\" data-component=\"AspectRatioContainer\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"jMqWO _1PHKk\" src=\"https:\/\/live-production.wcms.abc-cdn.net.au\/50b9e0e8b093d6fa58b39211941f74e4?impolicy=wcms_crop_resize&amp;cropH=720&amp;cropW=1080&amp;xPos=100&amp;yPos=0&amp;width=862&amp;height=575\" sizes=\"100vw\" alt=\"Donald Trump speaking at the presidential podium, with a photo of Richard Nixon and protestors in the background.\" data-component=\"Image\" data-lazy=\"true\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption id=\"101642822\" class=\"_1EAJU _2_dbS _2L258 _14LIk _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Figure__figcaption\">America has survived tumultuous presidencies before, including corruption of the Nixon years.<cite class=\"_1EAJU _1ftZy _2L258 _14LIk _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Figure__cite\">(<span class=\"_1EAJU _2D0A4 _2L258 _1BqKa _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Byline\"><span class=\"_1EAJU _2L258 _14LIk _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Text\">ABC News:\u00a0Shakira Wilson<\/span><\/span>)<\/cite><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"_1EAJU hMmqO SYcM3 zwVFG _1BqKa _3AExf _3HiTE x9R1x pDrMR hmFfs _390V1\" data-component=\"Heading\">American decline continues<\/h2>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Those breathing a little easier now need to ask themselves what they are celebrating.\u00a0A Biden reprieve? The likelihood of another Biden term at the next presidential election? What is there to be relieved about in an ailing nation where far too many have abandoned hope?<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Biden has not arrested American decline. Inflation is rampant. The economy is shrinking. The poor are getting poorer. Life expectancy is decreasing. Americans have less faith in democracy, not more.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"_3qLh5 _sBMB _1ilWc cj-aC\" data-component=\"RelatedCard\" data-uri=\"coremedia:\/\/article\/101642906\">\n<div class=\"_8ozWK\" data-component=\"CardBox\">\n<h3 class=\"_1EAJU hMmqO MaLKt NHr4j _316gH _1zBDU _1BqKa _2AH39 _3HiTE x9R1x pDrMR hmFfs _390V1\" data-component=\"CardHeading\"><span class=\"_3agD2\" data-component=\"KeyboardFocus\">Trump&#8217;s very bad midterms<\/span><\/h3>\n<div class=\"_2mnnz _1vrxI _1Gx7i _2gSqv\" data-component=\"CardLayout\">\n<div class=\"_16eiR\">\n<p class=\"_1EAJU _3V31R _2L258 _1BqKa _25ANV hmFfs\" data-component=\"Typography\">The &#8220;red wave&#8221;\u00a0that wasn&#8217;t still\u00a0complicates the rest of\u00a0Joe Biden&#8217;s term. But for his rival, Donald Trump, the future is even more uncertain, writes Jade Macmillan.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"_3nQI7 _1P5AM _2PGTd _2paT0\">\n<div class=\"_3poXF\">\n<div class=\"_1Axyg\" data-component=\"AspectRatioContainer\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"jMqWO _1PHKk\" src=\"https:\/\/live-production.wcms.abc-cdn.net.au\/1637591e5454b08a676c7292c8aa9793?impolicy=wcms_crop_resize&amp;cropH=2813&amp;cropW=5000&amp;xPos=0&amp;yPos=11&amp;width=862&amp;height=485\" alt=\"A close up of Donald Trump's face\" data-component=\"Image\" data-lazy=\"true\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"u0kBv _3CtDL _1_pW8 _3Fvo9\" href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2022-11-10\/what-the-outcome-of-the-us-midterms-tell-us-about-2024\/101628160\" data-component=\"Link\"><span class=\"_2-aY_\"><span class=\"_1EAJU _2O0_n _1BqKa _25ANV hmFfs\" data-component=\"Typography\">Read more<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">When Biden took power he promised to re-energise the country. America would build things again. It would regain its moral core. It would lead the world, not shrink from leadership. America is back, said Biden.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">But what has happened? Serious questions are being asked about Bidenomics: his stimulus cash splash only fuelled inflation. His America is more protectionist. He urges Americans to buy American; laws promote the use of American iron and steel and\u00a0hands out subsidies to local manufacturers in industries like electric vehicles.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">All of that might boost local jobs. But analysts warn there is a downside. Protectionism hurts other nations. It\u00a0inspires tit for tat \u2013 beggar thy neighbour \u2013 economic retaliation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">The Economist newspaper recently warned of increasing red tape, of higher prices for goods, dulling Biden&#8217;s &#8220;go-green&#8221; environmental push. It warned that such measures tempts other countries into China&#8217;s orbit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">The Economist wrote: &#8220;Rather than putting up barriers, America should reap the benefits of openness.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Abroad, Biden&#8217;s first two years in office were marked by the humiliating withdrawal from Afghanistan. The most powerful military in the world humbled by the Taliban.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Yes, Biden has sought to rally democracies. He has thrown his support \u2013 but not troops on the ground \u2013 behind Ukraine in its defence against Russian invasion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Biden says don&#8217;t bet against America. But the jury is out on that.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"_1EAJU hMmqO SYcM3 zwVFG _1BqKa _3AExf _3HiTE x9R1x pDrMR hmFfs _390V1\" data-component=\"Heading\">Xi Jinping is a wild card<\/h2>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Putin&#8217;s Russia is not Xi Jinping&#8217;s China. There is a greater threat looming: war over Taiwan. Biden has been confused and confusing in his response. He pledges that the US will defend Taiwan only for the White House to have to walk back his words.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">China, not Russia,\u00a0looms over the 21st century. It is on track to usurp the US as the biggest economy in the world. Even as its economy slows it is still growing at around 4 per cent while America stands on the brink of recession with growth at 1 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Joe Biden will now sit down with Xi Jinping, a meeting of the world&#8217;s two most powerful leaders. Both leaders need the meeting. Both face headwinds. But Xi Jinping believes he needs America less than America needs China.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">For certain, Biden cannot dismiss Xi. The unipolar world \u2013 the American century \u2013 looks to be over. The era of great power competition is upon us again as the Chinese ask:\u00a0Can two tigers live on the same mountain?<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Xi Jinping is a wild card. President for life. He dresses in military fatigues and warns of war. But Xi is not Vladimir Putin. He cannot easily be put in the deep freeze and Biden must talk with him.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">A rapprochement is too much to expect but new Cold Warriors who think China can be isolated, who imagine a showdown with China, flirt with catastrophe.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"_247xw _3qLh5 _sBMB _3pBTa\" role=\"group\" data-print=\"inline-media\" aria-labelledby=\"101642850\" data-component=\"Figure\" data-uri=\"coremedia:\/\/imageproxy\/101642850\">\n<div class=\"_3poXF\">\n<div class=\"_1Axyg\" data-component=\"AspectRatioContainer\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"jMqWO _1PHKk\" src=\"https:\/\/live-production.wcms.abc-cdn.net.au\/7b3d5d29e44ce4e82054468c2da0796b?impolicy=wcms_crop_resize&amp;cropH=1423&amp;cropW=2143&amp;xPos=428&amp;yPos=231&amp;width=862&amp;height=575\" sizes=\"100vw\" alt=\"Joe Biden smiling with his hand on Xi Jinping's shoulder\" data-component=\"Image\" data-lazy=\"true\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption id=\"101642850\" class=\"_1EAJU _2_dbS _2L258 _14LIk _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Figure__figcaption\">Xi Jinping can not be put in the deep freeze and Joe Biden must continue to talk to him.<cite class=\"_1EAJU _1ftZy _2L258 _14LIk _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Figure__cite\">(<span class=\"_1EAJU _2D0A4 _2L258 _1BqKa _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Byline\"><span class=\"_1EAJU _2L258 _14LIk _3pVeq hmFfs _2F43D\" data-component=\"Text\">Reuters: David McNew<\/span><\/span>)<\/cite><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"_1EAJU hMmqO SYcM3 zwVFG _1BqKa _3AExf _3HiTE x9R1x pDrMR hmFfs _390V1\" data-component=\"Heading\">What do the midterms tell us?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">This is the backdrop to the midterm elections: war, the threat of war, economic strife, an ailing America and a nation far from the so-called shining city on the hill.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">What do the midterms tell us? Donald Trump is weakened but it is too soon to write him off. He still has a grip on the Republican Party.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Trump is a carnival act. An American Barnum and Bailey creation. He&#8217;s personally odious and politically dangerous. He has concocted conspiracies. Incited insurrection. Exploited racism. Bragged of his misogyny and sexual predatory.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">Yet he speaks to the dying heart of the country. His vision is American carnage, not American dreams. And right now, for too many Americans, that sounds right.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">After the elections American politics faces gridlock. Neither party commands the country. But the midterms were not just about Democrats and Republicans. They were about America.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\">And that means they were about all of us.<\/p>\n<p class=\"_1g_Rg\"><strong>Stan Grant is the ABC&#8217;s international affairs analyst and presenter of Q+A on Thursday at 8.30pm. He also presents China Tonight on Monday at 9:35pm on ABC TV, and Tuesday at 8pm on the ABC News Channel.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US midterms showed more than a weakened Trump and a relieved Biden. Are the prophets of doom right about America? I&#8217;ve been posting disappointed, cynical and perhaps even angry comments on Politics Plus since the polling booths closed. That may seem a little unfair to many Democrats who are happy the Red Wave didn&#8217;t <a href='https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2022\/11\/12\/as-seen-from-afar-11-13-2022\/' class='excerpt-more'>[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[5202,3712,3760,5201,4859,3831],"class_list":["post-49838","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","tag-american-decline","tag-donald-trump","tag-joe-biden","tag-midterm-elections","tag-threats-to-democracy","tag-world","category-5-id","post-seq-1","post-parity-odd","meta-position-corners","fix"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49838","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49838"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49838\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49838"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49838"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49838"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}