{"id":34268,"date":"2018-11-09T09:26:45","date_gmt":"2018-11-09T17:26:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/?p=34268"},"modified":"2018-11-09T09:26:45","modified_gmt":"2018-11-09T17:26:45","slug":"friday-fun-lets-count-the-ways-it-was-a-blue-wave","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2018\/11\/09\/friday-fun-lets-count-the-ways-it-was-a-blue-wave\/","title":{"rendered":"Friday Fun: Let\u2019s Count the Ways It WAS a Blue Wave"},"content":{"rendered":"

Make no mistake about it, despite the Faux \u201cnews\u201d (sic)<\/em> blathering and Twitler\u2019s<\/em><\/strong> mendacious claim that it was \u201cclose to a complete victory\u201d<\/em> (and when was the last time that man-child told the truth?) \u2013 it was most definitely a Blue Wave<\/strong> election.<\/p>\n

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Being truthful, we can admit that it was not the Blue Tsunami<\/em><\/strong> that we had all been hoping for.\u00a0 But it was also NOT a Blue Ripple<\/em> like RepubliKKKlans are trying to spin it.\u00a0 Let\u2019s get down to the nitty gritty and count the ways it does add up to a beautiful Blue Wave.<\/p>\n

But I\u2019m going to need your help doing that.\u00a0 There was so much good news on Tuesday (along with some very disappointing news, like Beto\u2019s<\/strong> loss) that I\u2019m sure I\u2019ll miss out on some of the news.\u00a0 So I hope you will add the ones I forget in your Comments.<\/p>\n

[MAJOR CAVEAT<\/strong>: As we know, votes are still being counted (even though republicans actually SUED in an effort to STOP votes from being counted)<\/a>.\u00a0 And totals are generally moving in Democrats\u2019 favor.\u00a0 So numbers and results are not final]<\/em><\/p>\n

Let\u2019s begin with the \u201cBig Picture\u201d<\/strong><\/em> and look at the general trend in the 2018 Midterm.\u00a0 And to do that we’ll use the House of Representatives results since it was the only fully national election:<\/p>\n

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Little too confusing?\u00a0 Let’s break it down to first show Districts that became “Redder”<\/strong><\/em> – of which there were a couple dozen:<\/p>\n

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Now let\u2019s look at a map showing districts that became \u201cBluer\u201d \u2013 of which there were at least 317!<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Even better news, let\u2019s take a look just within those Districts that elected RepubliKKKlans \u2013 and show with a graph if they generally became \u201cRedder\u201d<\/em><\/strong> or \u201cBluer\u201d<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

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Yup \u2013 171 Districts, while electing RepuliKKKlans, still moved to the Left!<\/span><\/p>\n

[Above graphics from “The New York Times”<\/em><\/a>]<\/p>\n

So to summarize, Nate Silver<\/strong> of 538<\/em><\/strong><\/a> anticipates Democrats will have taken 34 seats in the House \u2013 well above the 23 needed to gain control<\/p>\n

Democrats currently lead the popular vote in the U.S. House by about 6 million votes or 6% of the vote. Likely to rise to around 8 million votes and 7-8% once all votes are counted.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

The final Rasmussen Reports poll said REPUBLICANS would win the popular vote. @Rasmussen_Poll<\/em><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

And Prof. Sam Wang<\/strong> of the Princeton University Election Consortium is even more optimistic, showing that while it may not be the largest \u201cWave\u201d in history \u2013 it certainly qualifies as a Wave:<\/p>\n

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The NYT currently projects a national popular-vote margin of D+9.2%. The largest popular margin since 2008, larger than waves of 1994, 2006, 2010, 2014.<\/p>\n

1994: R+7.1%
2006: D+8.0%
2008: D+10.6%
2010: R+7.2%
2014: R+5.7%<\/p>\n

By historical standards, this a popular wave. pic.twitter.com\/4hw71hieVN<\/a><\/p>\n

— Sam Wang (@SamWangPhD) November 7, 2018<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n