{"id":23971,"date":"2016-09-23T13:16:37","date_gmt":"2016-09-23T20:16:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/?p=23971"},"modified":"2016-09-23T13:16:37","modified_gmt":"2016-09-23T20:16:37","slug":"dems-leading-in-nc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2016\/09\/23\/dems-leading-in-nc\/","title":{"rendered":"Dems Leading in NC"},"content":{"rendered":"

Let me begin with the caveat that I consider it too early to be predicting outcomes, and with that said, Rachel Maddow has brought us a very small sample of raw data from early voting in NC.  I’m certainly not going to call it definitive, but it does give some cause for hope.<\/font><\/p>\n

\n

\"0923NC-early-vote\"<\/p>\n

Rachel Maddow broke some huge good news for Hillary Clinton, as Democrats have an eight-point lead in the early balloting in North Carolina\u2026<\/p>\n

\u2026It is a small sample, but this is why Republicans are freaking in North Carolina and nationally:<\/p>\n

Maddow said, \u201cDemocrats always expect to do better in the early vote. Republicans expect to do better in terms of votes cast on election day, but even given that, that margin, that eight-point margin for the Democrats is really good. According to the Associated Press, Republicans were on this measure at this point in the race four years ago, not Democrats. They had a 43%-38% lead on early ballots at this point in 2012.\u201d<\/p>\n

Mitt Romney went on to win North Carolina in 2012. <\/p>\n

If Donald Trump loses North Carolina, he loses the election. It doesn\u2019t matter what happens in Ohio or Florida or any of the other swing states. If Clinton flips a red state and maintains her \u201cblue wall,\u201d she will win the election…<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

From <PoliticusUSA<\/a>><\/font><\/p>\n

Here’s the video from the Rachel Maddow Show<\/a>:<\/font><\/p>\n