{"id":21787,"date":"2016-05-10T12:58:39","date_gmt":"2016-05-10T19:58:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/?p=21787"},"modified":"2016-05-10T12:58:39","modified_gmt":"2016-05-10T19:58:39","slug":"the-electoral-map-looks-rump-dumped","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2016\/05\/10\/the-electoral-map-looks-rump-dumped\/","title":{"rendered":"The Electoral Map Looks Rump Dumped"},"content":{"rendered":"

It\u2019s really too early in the election cycle to pay much attention to polls, and it will be until after the bump from the Democratic Convention levels off in mid=August.  However, I consider the poll-based election map by Cook Political worthy of note, because if the shift that took place when Rump Dump Trump became the presumptive Republican nominee.<\/font><\/p>\n

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\"0510Map\"<\/p>\n

This has been an exceedingly unpredictable year. Although we remain convinced that Hillary Clinton is very vulnerable and would probably lose to most other Republicans, Donald Trump’s historic unpopularity with wide swaths of the electorate – women, millennials, independents and Latinos – make him the initial November underdog<\/strong>. <\/p>\n

As a result, we are shifting 13 ratings on our Electoral Vote scorecard, almost all of them favoring Democrats. Our assessments are based on publicly available polling, data on demographic change and private discussions with a large number of pollsters in both parties. Much could change, but undecided voters begin more hostile to Trump than Clinton. <\/p>\n

With these changes, 190 Electoral Votes are in the Solid Democratic column, 27 are in Likely Democratic and another 87 are in Lean Democratic – enough for a majority. Yet another 44 Electoral Votes are in Toss Up. Although Iowa, New Hampshire and Ohio could shift to Lean Democratic and Nevada could shift to Likely Democratic, we are holding off on changes in these states until we see more evidence\u2026 [emphasis added<\/em>]<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Inserted from <Cook Political<\/a>><\/p>\n

Thank badness for Rump Dump.  If Hillary gets the nomination, we can\u2019t just assume that she will be elected.  We\u2019ll have to fight for it.  Rump Dump makes a win possible.  Any Republican in the White House would transform America into hell on earth.<\/font><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It\u2019s really too early in the election cycle to pay much attention to polls, and it will be until after the bump from the Democratic Convention levels off in mid=August.  However, I consider the poll-based election map by Cook Political worthy of note, because if the shift that took place when Rump Dump Trump became […]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","category-5-id","post-seq-1","post-parity-odd","meta-position-corners","fix"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21787","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21787"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21787\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21787"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21787"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21787"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}