{"id":17602,"date":"2015-11-18T10:56:04","date_gmt":"2015-11-18T18:56:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/?p=17602"},"modified":"2015-11-18T10:56:04","modified_gmt":"2015-11-18T18:56:04","slug":"on-the-edge11182015","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2015\/11\/18\/on-the-edge11182015\/","title":{"rendered":"On the Edge&ndash;11\/18\/2015"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">Yesterday was good but tiring.&nbsp; Last night, I made my first pivot transfer rotating to my stump side using a walker.&nbsp; That is much more difficult than rotating toward the good leg.&nbsp; I successfully landed on a portable commode.&nbsp; While not ideal, it sure beats Republicating in a bedpan.&nbsp; I made seven laps around the unit.&nbsp; Five was my previous high.&nbsp; I almost ketched me a purdy nurse, but not quite. <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wlEmoticon wlEmoticon-cryingface\" style=\"border-top-style: none; border-bottom-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-left-style: none\" alt=\"Crying face\" src=\"https:\/\/www.7thstep.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/wlEmoticon-cryingface1.png\"><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\"><strong>Short Takes<\/strong>:<\/font>When warm water stored below the surface of the western Pacific ocean moves east along the equator it moves the earth\u2019s tropical atmospheric convection cells with it. Responding to the eastward shift in the tropical convection, the jet stream moves south on normal on the west coast bringing heavy winter rains to California in strong El Ni\u00f1o years. With this year\u2019s El Ni\u00f1o at record or near record strength NOAA\u2019s CFS climate model predicts a strong southward drop of the storm track off the west coast. A very stormy winter can be expected from California, across the gulf states and up the east coast. This year\u2019s intense jet stream pattern will bring much warmer than normal temperatures to the northeastern United States and eastern Canada.<\/p>\n<p>El Ni\u00f1o will shift the storm track south this winter into California, the gulf states and the southeast. The northeast and eastern Canada will be much warmer than normal, warmed by flow off the north Pacific.  <\/p>\n<p>This winter, California can expect heavy rains, floods and mudslides, but snow levels (elevation of rain snow line, not amounts) will be high because moisture flows from the tropics in an El Ni\u00f1o winter are warm and wet. California\u2019s water situation will improve but ground water levels are unlikely to rebound to levels seen before the drought began. One year\u2019s rains will not alleviate the long-term water problems caused by the record California drought but reservoir levels will rebound.  <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.7thstep.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/1118ElNino.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"1118ElNino\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"1118ElNino\" src=\"https:\/\/www.7thstep.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/1118ElNino_thumb.png\" width=\"552\" height=\"336\"><\/a>  <\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">Click through for much more. It looks like California is about to get Californicated. And Oregon may have a cold winter.<\/font>  <\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">From <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/humor\/borowitz-report\/trumps-focus-on-muslims-distracting-him-from-campaign-against-mexicans-supporters-fear\" target=\"_blank\">The New Yorker<\/a>: <\/font>There are growing fears among supporters of the Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump that his new focus on Muslims is distracting him from his campaign against Mexicans.  <\/p>\n<p>After the billionaire said he would consider shutting down mosques if he were President, supporters expressed concern that such signature proposals as a wall with Mexico and mass deportations were being lost in the shuffle.  <\/p>\n<p>Carol Foyler, who viewed a recent Trump appearance on television, said that she was \u201calarmed\u201d to hear him talk about closing mosques \u201cwithout mentioning the wall with Mexico even once.\u201d \u201cI just worry, I guess, that with all of this talk about Muslims he\u2019s really forgetting about Mexicans,\u201d she said. \u201cIt feels kind of like a bait-and-switch.\u201d  <\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">But Andy, don&#8217;t you think that the hairball will announce that Mexicans are Muslims?<\/font>  <\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">From <a href=\"http:\/\/www.upworthy.com\/this-hilarious-song-shows-how-frustrated-scientists-can-get-when-you-ignore-climate-change\" target=\"_blank\">Upworthy<\/a>: <\/font><strong>Jeremy Hoffman spends his days studying ocean sediment samples. <\/strong> <\/p>\n<p>That may not sound very interesting, but for Hoffman, it&#8217;s fascinating: He&#8217;s reconstructing climate records from Earth&#8217;s past.  <\/p>\n<p>So you can imagine how the 26-year-old paleoclimate scientist feels about climate change doubters, people who say Hoffman \u2014 and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/climate-consensus-97-per-cent\/2013\/may\/16\/climate-change-scienceofclimatechange\" target=\"_blank\">97% of his colleagues<\/a> \u2014 are wrong about the effects of human activity on global climate.  <\/p>\n<p>He&#8217;s tried to convince them using traditional methods, but some people can&#8217;t be swayed by peer-reviewed papers.  <\/p>\n<p><strong>So he&#8217;s decided to use a different tool: parody songs.<\/strong>  <\/p>\n<p><strong><iframe loading=\"lazy\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube-nocookie.com\/embed\/GRUOgW9tJMs?rel=0\" frameborder=\"0\" width=\"640\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/strong>&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p>That parody song needs to go viral. Please spread it around.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yesterday was good but tiring.&nbsp; Last night, I made my first pivot transfer rotating to my stump side using a walker.&nbsp; That is much more difficult than rotating toward the good leg.&nbsp; I successfully landed on a portable commode.&nbsp; While not ideal, it sure beats Republicating in a bedpan.&nbsp; I made seven laps around the <a href='https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2015\/11\/18\/on-the-edge11182015\/' class='excerpt-more'>[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,3,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17602","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-open-thread","category-personal","category-politics","category-35-id","category-3-id","category-5-id","post-seq-1","post-parity-odd","meta-position-corners","fix"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17602","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17602"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17602\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17602"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17602"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17602"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}