{"id":13516,"date":"2014-08-22T00:04:20","date_gmt":"2014-08-22T07:04:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/?p=13516"},"modified":"2014-08-22T00:04:20","modified_gmt":"2014-08-22T07:04:20","slug":"the-senate-grab-bag","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2014\/08\/22\/the-senate-grab-bag\/","title":{"rendered":"The Senate Grab Bag"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">Few things matter more to the future of freedom in America is keeping the Republican Reich from gaining control of the Senate.&#160; The following article was published by the blog run by Nate Silver, the only person to outdo my 2012 election predictions.&#160; We both predicted every Senate race accurately. He predicted every state in the Presidential election.&#160; I predicted all but one.&#160; I can\u2019t say, however, whether moving the blog from the New York Times to ESPN will effect his accuracy.<\/font><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"0822VOTE\" style=\"float: none; margin-left: auto; display: block; margin-right: auto\" alt=\"0822VOTE\" src=\"https:\/\/www.7thstep.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/0822VOTE.jpg\" width=\"550\" height=\"300\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Dan Sullivan <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sfgate.com\/news\/politics\/article\/US-Senate-race-the-focus-in-Alaska-primary-5695861.php\" target=\"_blank\">won the Republican nomination<\/a> for Senate in Alaska on Tuesday night, finalizing our cast of Democratic and Republican candidates for the most competitive Senate races in November. Republicans, despite <a href=\"http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/datalab\/republicans-have-more-reason-than-ever-to-worry-about-primary-challenges\/\" target=\"_blank\">some close calls<\/a>, nominated candidates mostly in the mainstream of the GOP, avoiding the fringe candidates who have hurt the party\u2019s electoral prospects in the past.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans <a href=\"http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/republican-gop-senate-forecast\/\" target=\"_blank\">look likely<\/a> to pick up seats in Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia \u2014 putting the party within three seats of the majority.<\/p>\n<p>The map right now is simple: <strong>Control of the Senate will be decided in Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Iowa, Louisiana and North Carolina. Republicans must win at least half of these races.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Yet, we still can\u2019t say with much confidence who will win the Senate. These are tight races.<\/p>\n<p>In our <a href=\"http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/republican-gop-senate-forecast\/\" target=\"_blank\">latest FiveThirtyEight forecast<\/a>, we gave Republicans no higher than a 60 percent chance of winning any of these six seats and no lower than a 40 percent chance\u2026 [<em>emphasis added<\/em>]<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Inserted from &lt;<a href=\"http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/datalab\/six-consistently-close-races-will-probably-decide-control-of-the-senate\/\" target=\"_blank\">FiveThirtyEight<\/a>&gt;<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">Click through for a more detailed analysis of each race.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">I picked three of the Democratic and found recent campaign ads for you.&#160; Here they are:<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">Mark Pryor (D-AR)<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" height=\"360\" src=\"\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/W1-n2g2e0BA\" frameborder=\"0\" width=\"640\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">Mark Udall (D-CO)<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" height=\"360\" src=\"\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/26sbLmONB2Y?list=UU_SFwyWOrcCfUoHtRTmWpAw\" frameborder=\"0\" width=\"640\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">Kay Hagen (D-NC)<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<iframe loading=\"lazy\" height=\"360\" src=\"\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Y4OQZ1I6xVg?list=UU96r-c0XxBNJqpH0cGYur7w\" frameborder=\"0\" width=\"640\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe> <\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">Personally I liked Udall\u2019s the most and Hagen\u2019s the least, but whatever works.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#0000ff\">Your thoughts?<\/font><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Few things matter more to the future of freedom in America is keeping the Republican Reich from gaining control of the Senate.&#160; The following article was published by the blog run by Nate Silver, the only person to outdo my 2012 election predictions.&#160; We both predicted every Senate race accurately. He predicted every state in <a href='https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/2014\/08\/22\/the-senate-grab-bag\/' class='excerpt-more'>[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13516","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","category-5-id","post-seq-1","post-parity-odd","meta-position-corners","fix"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13516","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13516"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13516\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13516"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13516"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.politicsplus.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13516"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}