Oct 172014

Conventional wisdom, or phrased another way, media infoganda, would have us believe that Republicans will have a smooth sail to take over the Senate in less than three weeks   Even though the following article does not quite challenge that notion, and it does point out some likely areas of contention, it’s really much closer than that.

1017RunoffThe race for Senate control is very close and there’s a significant chance that Americans won’t know on election night which party controls the Senate.

It may even remain an open question until after the next Congress convenes on Jan. 3, 2015.

That uncertainty could spark chaos in the lame-duck session and hit pause on Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell’s (R-KY) plans to redecorate the majority leader’s ornate suite.

Forecasters roundly give Republicans an edge to win the net six seats they need to claim the Senate majority. The New York Times sees a one-third chance that the race will end in a 50-50 tie or be decided by a one-seat margin.

Here are four plausible scenarios that could push the Senate fight into overtime.

1. Likely runoff in Louisiana

Bill Cassidy (R) holds a steady lead over Sen. Mary Laudrieu (D), but neither candidate is expected to cross the 50 percent threshold required by Louisiana’s "jungle primary" rules to claim victory on election night. Tea party candidate Rob Maness and two other candidates on the Nov. 4 ballot are collectively pulling 18 percent, according to the TPM PollTracker average.

If neither candidate wins an outright majority on the main ballot, a runoff election between the top two will take place on Dec. 6…

Inserted from <TPM>

This is just one race where a runoff is likely.  Click through for three more and for a list of close races.

Rachel Maddow, on the other hand, thinks it’s a dead heat.

If you can’t see here, here’s the direct link to it at MSNBC.  It that does not work, it’s also on YouTube,  but it may not be for long.

Rachel made two, key points.  The first is that Republicans are bending over backward to try to steal this election.  The second…


Oct 172014

Here are the results of our Fix the SCROTUS Damage poll.  Politics Plus Polls are not scientific, because those who respond are not balanced according to demographic categories.   Therefore, we do not accurately reflect the makeup of the US population.  Nevertheless, our polls are often both accurate and indicative of the nation’s view.


And here are your comments:

Showing comments 1-11 of 11.

Posted by Arielle   October 8, 2014 at 6:35 am.  


Long, long time… the SCOTUS have children who have been brainwashed into thinking as they think – The Koch brothers probably have coffins in their basements and will just keep living as all vampires do. Etc. etc.



Posted by Edie  October 5, 2014 at 5:20 pm.  


I said 24 because several of them are young enough to last that long.


Posted by Rixar13  October 4, 2014 at 6:09 am.  


16 years is a wild guess but with a Republican Congress – Longer



Posted by Phil  October 3, 2014 at 4:58 pm.  


Longer = forever. Republicans must never again wield power and influence over U.S. American politics; they’re a danger to the nation and to the world.


Posted by Patty  October 2, 2014 at 6:09 am.  


I was going to say 16 and then thought these Koch suckers can afford excellent medical care and will be kept alive no matter what happens to them just like Chicken Hawk Cheney. I went with 24 because it might be enough to get rid of at east 2 of the older ones.



Posted by Joanne D  October 2, 2014 at 4:08 am.  


I was optimistic and sent with 16 years. But you guys may be right. Unfortunately, however long it is, I doubt I will be around to see even the tipping appointment, let alone the cleanup. Don’t get discouraged – keep fighting – you younger ones.


Posted by Yvonne White  October 1, 2014 at 10:29 am.  


I went with 24 years (at Least), because RepubliCONs never retire or die as soon as you Need them to! :(


Posted by mamabear  October 1, 2014 at 9:47 am.  


24 or more. With the clowns on the other side I can see it happening. fingers crossed


Posted by dave c  October 1, 2014 at 7:15 am.  


unfortunately I say at least 48, some of GW’s appts are still so young…..of course, the real answer maybe no matter of time will ever undue the atrocities the GOP has done to the citizens of the US and the world.



Posted by gene  October 1, 2014 at 2:49 am.  


24 at least, maybe more. That should get rid of Scalia and Thomas and it is important to control the Senate so progressive nominee’s can be confirmed.


Posted by John Dasef  September 30, 2014 at 3:05 pm.  


Unfortunately, most of the fascist five are relatively young. Unless one or more of them are impeached, which is unlikely, we will spend a long time waiting for them to die.

I voted Longer.  I figured that it will be another 20 – 25 years before the last of the fascist five is ready to retire, or if they die in office, begin their downward journey.   However I did bot pick 24, because they will do a lot more damage during that time, ands once their gone, that damage will not be instant instantly repaired.  I figure that will take another 20 – 25 years.

The new poll is up, and I’m not going to insult your intelligence by making false claims about it.  It’s the only political push poll I have written.  My God grant that I never feel the need to write another.

Oct 032014

I’m writing for tomorrow, day 165.  I’m about to leave for my physical, and will finish filling out this section after I return, so you can have more than just a Personal Update.

All things considered, except for Lady Vampira’s drilling, the trip was pretty painless.  Nevertheless, I’m feeling quite tired and am ready for some extra sleep.

Jig Zone Puzzle:

Today’s took me 2:49 (average 4:24).  To do it, click here.  How did you do?

Short Takes:

From Daily Kos: This clip of Rep. Cory Gardner from from Denver’s KDVR TV is nothing short of amazing because he spends nearly two minutes trying to claim that legislation that he co-sponsored—the federal personhood bill—does not exist:

In the video, Gardner repeatedly claims that "there is no such thing as a federal personhood bill" when KDVR’s Eli Stokols asks him to explain why he was willing to flip-flop on his support for Colorado’s personhood measure but not the federal bill.

It’s a convenient answer for Gardner because by denying the existence of federal personhood legislation, he doesn’t have to explain why he supports it while claiming to oppose a state-level measure that does the same thing. The only problem is that it’s a transparently and utterly ridiculous claim.

Barf Bag Alert!


I’m amazes this was aired at a local Fox station. No way would it have ever been shown on the Republican Reichsministry of propaganda, Faux Noise. This Republican is doing what Republicans virtually always do when called to account for his verifiable behavior. He is lying.

From The New Yorker: Iraq’s new Prime Minister, Haider al-Abadi, has cancelled a scheduled visit to the White House, citing “concerns about the security situation there.”

Speaking to reporters in Baghdad on Wednesday, Abadi said that he had been looking forward to visiting the White House but that recent reports had “given me the willies.”

“They really need to get on top of things there,” he said. “Until they do, I’m better off staying in Iraq.”…

Can you blame him, Andy? The White House just isn’t a safe place to visit, let alone live there.

From TPM: Nate Silver acknowledged that he was doing something a little unusual in a Sept. 17 blog post when he called out fellow forecaster Sam Wang of Princeton University. But it also appears to have been the culmination of a long-simmering — if largely under-the-radar — feud.

"I don’t like to call out other forecasters by name unless I have something positive to say about them — and we think most of the other models out there are pretty great," Silver wrote. But he then labeled Wang’s model "wrong" and provided a detailed argument (with footnotes) to explain why he thought so.

And it didn’t stop there. Periodically over the last week or so, Silver has continued to take shots on Twitter at Wang’s forecasting model, which has consistently been more optimistic about Democratic odds of keeping the Senate than Silver’s (or any other forecaster).

I doubt that Silver would be taking such umbrage, if Wang’s model had not outperformed his own in the last three national elections.



Oct 012014

Here are the results of our Obama on ISIL poll.  Politics Plus Polls are not scientific, because those who respond are not balanced according to demographic categories.   Therefore, we do not accurately reflect the makeup of the US population.  Nevertheless, our polls are often both accurate and indicative of the nation’s view.


And here are your comments:

Showing comments 1-7 of 7.

Posted by Patty  September 18, 2014 at 2:10 am.  


It’s a much better plan than the ones the TeapublicanTs are proposing. MccConJob and "I have the vapors" Graham both want full-scale war. The Saudis are really leaning on them for that.


Posted by Gwendolyn H. Barry  September 17, 2014 at 5:10 am.  


I had forgotten you did these! The U.S. has evolved into a perpetual war machine. The costs of these ugly choices could remedy so much social malfunction. I was Bin Laden who exclaimed that if they wished to bring the U.S. to it’s knees, simply hoist a flag anywhere / i.e. beheadings, attacks, suicide events / and the U.S. "leadership" would react. And it’s true. No longer able to grasp other E.U. nations to follow along, we are now a reactionary govt without full support of U.N. nations. Here at home, social ills bloat and exhaust communities going un-noticed by the larger audience because the MSM is simply a tool for the MIC and corp purchasing agenda. The truth is buried in indy, alternative media that struggles to expose the corruption that our govt has become disabled in. imo. respectfully, Tom. Good to see you!


Posted by Edie  September 16, 2014 at 5:38 pm.  


I think this is all he can do right now. Few Americans would support another full blown war right now, with the exception of McCain, Graham, and Cheney. The Arab world needs to step up and show some accountability for their region, maybe this plan will force them to do it.


Posted by mamabear  September 16, 2014 at 5:09 pm.  


A good plan. Getting everyone to work together is a sign of of great leadership and one that most would not even have guts to try. Yes a hard choice but it a wise one.


Posted by Yvonne White  September 16, 2014 at 10:25 am.  


There was an answer lacking: Ineffective. I don’t think Anything will change if the people at risk don’t or can’t help themselves.

The people of Iraq didn’t overthrow Sadam, and when WE did it "for them", well, we see how that works (or NOT)..:(


Posted by gene jacobson  September 16, 2014 at 5:57 am.  


I don’t like any of what is happening there and believe the nations of that region should be the ones standing up and demanding an end to the outlaw bands terrorizing the people. Given that they are not, that they prefer things the way they are that they might maintain the dispute between Shia and Sunni Islam, what the President is doing and proposing is probably the best we can do, no one in this country with sense (which excludes the Dick Cheneys of the country) is willing to go beyond this plan.


Posted by Joanne D  September 16, 2014 at 5:00 am.  


Since he is getting so much criticism from all sides, it has to be at least good. Universal criticism generally only goes to perfection, but I can’t bring myself to say it is perfect. I have concerns, not the least of which is stimulated by Jon Soltz of Vote Vets, who fears we may be throwing interpreters who have worked faithfully for us under the bus.

I was split on this one.  The idealist in me wanted to vote Disastrous or Poorly conceived, because I wonder if it can possibly be effective and I worry about the slippery slope.  But the realist in me won out.  For Obama to do nothing would be political suicide for the Democratic Party, and a Republican takeover here would be far more devastating than the worst imaginable effects of his plan, the best available.

Sep 162014

Here are the results of our What Republican Candidates Suck poll.  Politics Plus Polls are not scientific, because those who respond are not balanced according to demographic categories.   Therefore, we do not accurately reflect the makeup of the US population.  Nevertheless, our polls are often both accurate and indicative of the nation’s view.


And here are your comments:

Showing comments 1-9 of 9.

Posted by Lynn Squance  September 12, 2014 at 2:57 pm.  


I went with "Never mind" because IMO that encompasses all the rest. Those behind "Never mind", the Kochs, have a handle on doling out the money in copious amounts to the point of obscenity, and taking in methane through Koch Industries and farting out the excess as their infectious brand of insaniTEA.



True the Kochs are not the only ones doling out the doe, but they are certainly prolific.


Posted by mamabear  September 7, 2014 at 8:05 am.  


Well all the above is almost all they have been doing for yrs. But one seems to be on top of the list since 2008 and that would be InsaniTEA. I must say doing a wonderful job. After all it is the only thing they are good at. "Draining the country".:(


Posted by Patty  September 7, 2014 at 1:58 am.  


I had to vote money because that is the equivalent of Koch-sucking.



Posted by Phil-p  September 2, 2014 at 2:36 am.  


"All of thew above" merely is a reflection of the attitudes of most Republican and many Democratic politicians who rush suck up the leavings and hand outs of banks, corporations and special interests in exchange for their legislative influence and votes. The old motto: ‘What’s good for GM is good for America" is so true for the politicians of today and ever so disastrously wrong for the environment and citizens of this earth.


Posted by Yvonne White  September 1, 2014 at 10:08 am.  


RepubliCON’s new meme: You can never be too rich or too apathetic towards the 98%! ;



Posted by Joanne D  September 1, 2014 at 4:57 am.  


"Never Mind!" is basically the same thing as money, since mucho moolah comes from sucking that. I tried flipping a coin between the two and it stood on edge. InsaniTEA – Republicans don’t need to know what something is to be sucking it. Nor do they need to admit where it comes from, hence also methane. I just went with all.


Posted by Arielle  September 1, 2014 at 2:35 am.  


I said money, too – I’m curious to see just how much money is ever enough…. Power is in there as well. They are real vampires just sucking the power and money out of everything and anything….


Posted by gene jacobson  September 1, 2014 at 12:49 am.  


Despite the total for all of the above, with which I almost went, as I thought about it, for at least 7 seconds, I realized Republicans don’t know what Insanitea is, nor Methane (if they do, they deny it) and in that case Never Mind is still Gilda Radner’s province, leaving me with the one thing I do know they care about – Money. Everything else flows from that for them. Money – theirs, ours – which they intend to make theirs and give to the 1%. The ones who will never see the pearly gates because they can’t fit through the eye of a needle. Or understand what lack of money feels like, never having the experience themselves and being completely sociopathic they have no empathy either. So, yes, Money is the root of all Republicans.


Posted by Edie  August 31, 2014 at 4:01 pmFrom 98.159.143.x  Report Abuse 


I see I am voting with the majority this time.


For well over a year you’ve been asking for an ‘All of the above” choice, which I generally avoid, because they tend to stimulate knees more than brains.  So lets examine the choices.

Republican politicians suck money.  That’s a given.  They suck InsaniTEA, since nothing they do or say is sane.  They suck methane, because their heads are buried so deeply between their nether cheeks that methane is all there is to breathe. They suck Never Mind, because the Never Mind Brothers pay them so well to whore themselves to the 0.1%  I rest my case.  All of the above!!

The New Poll. is is on a serious subject.

Sep 012014

Here are the results of our Police Murder Poll.  Politics Plus Polls are not scientific, because those who respond are not balanced according to demographic categories.   Therefore, we do not accurately reflect the makeup of the US population.  Nevertheless, our polls are often both accurate and indicative of the nation’s view.


And here are your comments:

Showing comments 1-18 of 18.

Posted by Rixar13  August 28, 2014 at 1:23 pm.  


I hope so but, we shall see.



Posted by Edie  August 27, 2014 at 5:09 pm.  


Based on what I have seen about Ferguson, they will never find a jury to convict a white cop for killing a black man.


Posted by Jim Phillips  August 27, 2014 at 4:33 pm.  


Remember the subway shooting in Oakland, CA of Oscar Grant? Former transit cop convicted in California subway shooting. Yes, Darren Wilson will do prison time for either murder, manslaughter or violating Brown’s civil rights.


Posted by Lynn Squance  August 26, 2014 at 1:16 pm.  


Well isn`t it interesting that Wilson was part of a police force known for racism, so much so that the entire force was fired. That in his rookie year when he would normally be so “impressionable“. No wonder he found another home in Ferguson. The plot thickens.


Posted by Alex P.  August 22, 2014 at 8:36 am.  


In a fair and just world, of course he would. However… in THIS one, the answer is almost certainly "Haha, no. Of course he won’t."


Posted by mamabear  August 21, 2014 at 2:52 am.  


He will not even stand up in court and tell how he murdered a man because he was not white. Justice is a joke sometimes.


Posted by Patty  August 20, 2014 at 6:12 am.  


Of course he won’t serve time. I’m sure if he is even arrested and charged, he will claim PTSD and nightmares about Black men coming after him and get off with just probation IF convicted.


Posted by Steve  August 20, 2014 at 5:28 am.  


Since there are not even charges of murder against the officer yet much less a conviction your question is premature.


Posted by SoINeedAName  August 17, 2014 at 2:24 pm.  


Darren (chuckle-chuckle) Wilson (tee-hee) do PRISON (chortle-chortle) TIIME (guffaw-guffaw) for murdering a black man (bwaaa-haaaaa … snort … cough … gasp … No, really – I’m OK now …




DAMN – w/e you’re toking, I WANT SOME OF IT!


Posted by Yvonne White  August 16, 2014 at 5:29 pm.  


I believe the "award-winning" cop will not be charged – but will probably resign & move to another country very soon…


Posted by Lynn Squance  August 16, 2014 at 11:16 am.  


I said ‘no’. I have lost faith in the American justice system. Look back at Trayvon Martin. Zimmerman shot the kid and walked away from it. And I am sure that there have been others. Now Michael Brown. It seems "SSDD".


I have experienced racism twice — once as a pre teen and second as a teen. The first was my maternal grandfather who grabbed me by the scruff as we walked to the corner store in a Buffalo, NY neighbourhood. "Get over here girl or the "n …rs" are going to get you." That left such an indelible mark on me that I will never forget it. I was apalled at my grandfather and never forgave him for that hateful remark. The second came when I was going out with a black student about 1970. He was from Jamaica and the cousin of my best friend. One day at school I heard a group of his "friends" (with friends like that, who needs enemies?


talking and saying "he’s trying to see how far he can get with a little white girl". I was angry. There can be racism onall sides, however, historical evidence going back into the 1600’s, and probably before, shows that racism was and is alive and well. That should not be!


If there is any repercussion towards Wilson, I don’t think it will be more than a slap on the wrist, not even termination of employment. I hope I am wrong because racism is a cancer that too easily metastacises affecting all of society.


Posted by Lynn Squance in reply to Lynn Squance  August 16, 2014 at 11:17 am


That ‘smiley’ should be a bracket. Don’t know how it got there.


Posted by Joanne D  August 16, 2014 at 4:34 am.  


Seeing as the chief prosecutor of the county is one of the most livid that Nixon even brought the Highway Patrol in, and seeing as they won’t even interview eyewitnesses, even if it got to trial there would be no evidence presented to convict.


Posted by jla  August 16, 2014 at 2:12 am.  


There will be grounds for a mistrial due to prosecutor bias


Posted by Dandelion  August 16, 2014 at 1:13 am.  


If they have Stand Your Ground law he will most certainly get off. All someone has to do is look at you wrong and say your life felt threatened.

They have circled the wagons around their own. They "might" sacrifice him to get the spotlight off of the rest of them if the heat and attention stay on it.

But I lean more to the he’ll get away with it. Sadly in our Country the scales of justice are rigged.


Posted by gene jacobson  August 16, 2014 at 12:57 am.  


Probably not. Now that they are throwing around allegations that Michael "may" have been a suspect in a minor shoplifting incident, though Wilson did NOT know that, and muddying the waters, sadly, the most that will likely happen is they may fire one racist cop – eventually.



Posted by Lona Goudswaard  August 15, 2014 at 8:54 pm.  


Too many other cases like this in the past to make me think that this time common sense or justice will prevail. However, I can hope for a different outcome, can’t I?


Posted by Edie  August 15, 2014 at 4:06 pm.  


Very few police officers ever serve time for murders they commit while on the job. In view of the racism apparent in that area, I doubt any jury would convict if he were even indicted.

The poll results are no surprise, but I ant5icipated a lively discussion in the comment section.  You did not disappoint. I  voted No, of course.

The new poll is a bit of humor for a time when everyone is busy with the end of summer and the beginning of school.  It has s special feature you have requested for months.

Aug 292014

I’m writing for tomorrow, day 130.  This morning I was tied up trying to fix a computer problem.  In addition, I had no water for two hours, because maintenance had to do repairs in a neighboring unit.  I got my research done, but it’s much later than normal.

Jig Zone Puzzle:

Today’s took me 3:51 (average 4:53).  To do it, click here.  How did you do?

Religious Ecstasy:


Short Takes:

From NY Times: The four-hour tours offered by one of the big gun ranges here are a popular tourist attraction. Starting at $200 a person, a bus will pick up visitors at their hotel in Las Vegas, 25 miles to the north, show them Hoover Dam and bring them to a recreational shooting range called Last Stop, where they can fire the weapons of their dreams: automatic machine guns, sniper rifles, grenade launchers. A hamburger lunch is included; a helicopter tour of the nearby Grand Canyon is optional.

But on Monday, one family’s adventure went horribly wrong. A 9-year-old girl from New Jersey accidentally shot and killed her instructor with an Uzi submachine gun while he stood to her left side, trying to guide her. A video of the shooting, which her parents recorded on a cellphone, suggests that the girl, in pink shorts and with a braided ponytail, was unable to control the gun’s recoil; the instructor, Charles Vacca, 39, was rushed to a hospital in Las Vegas, where he died Monday night.

I remember being a nine year old at an NRA shooting range, but the weapon they gave me was a single shot .22 short rifle, not an Uzi submachine gun. I consider any instructor who would put such a weapon in a child’s hands a victim of his own Republican Ammosexuality, but he and the girl’s idiot parents have emotionally scarred the girl for life. She is the real victim here.

From Christian Science Monitor: The toughened economic sanctions the United States and the European Union imposed on Russia a month ago over its actions in Ukraine appear to have had little of the desired impact.

Instead of pulling back from the conflict in eastern Ukraine, Russia appears to be escalating its involvement. On Thursday, Western officials asserted that more than 1,000 Russian soldiers have crossed the border into southeastern Ukraine to bolster beleaguered pro-Russia separatists.

That action quickly raised questions concerning what more and what kind of action the West is likely to take in response. And the quick answer appears to be: not much.

Vladimir Putin (R-RU), aka GOP Pootie, because the Republican Party adopted him on account of his hatred toward and persecution of gay people, is ignoring the sanctions, because he recognizes that we have our hands full with ISIS and he sees the power vacuum in the US, where Congress has the responsibility to decide military action against ISIS, but the Republicans in the House would rather duck their responsibility, and complain that Obama has not taken action, while suing him over the hast time he took action, when they complained that he hadn’t taken action.

From CBS: They rejected him in 2008 and 2012, but Iowa Republican caucus-goers may finally be ready to embrace Mitt Romney as their presidential nominee.

According to a new USA Today/ Suffolk University poll, 35 percent of registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents in Iowa would vote for Romney in the 2016 GOP caucus if given the opportunity to do so.

The pollsters initially gave the voters a list of a dozen potential 2016 Republican candidates, not including Romney. Asked to name their first choice, 13 percent said former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (who won the 2008 GOP caucuses). Another 11 percent named New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, while 9 percent chose Texas Gov. Rick Perry and 7 percent chose former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush.

If the best they can come up with for 2016 is Little Lord Willard, infamous for Etching his Sketch, when reality does not suit them, Republicans are screwed in 2016. Vulture Capitalists make lousy candidates. Their greed sticks to them. Now we need to save the country by keeping them from increasing their power base before then.